DAQMAN - Sunday 5 September BETDAQ 8.0 CAPE BLANCO OFFER ‘A GIFT’, SAID DAQMAN: Daqman picked out runaway Irish Champion hero, Cape Blanco (won 6-1), as ‘tremendous value’ on Betdaq at 8.0 yesterday. It was a ‘gift offer,’ he said with confidence in his column.
THAT’S THE SPIRIT AT 4-1: He also named Kansai Spirit (won 4-1) and just missed out on the Haydock Sprint with Lady Of The Desert (2nd 9-1 from 13.5 on Betdaq).
THREE DAYS OF WINNING BETS: That follows winners in the previous two days at 7-1 and 7-2 (from 17-2 on Betdaq) and a double of lays.
If Cape Blanco’s runaway Irish Champion win franks Harbinger, his 11-lengths King George conqueror, what does it say about Lope De Vega, nearly nine lengths in front of him in the French Derby?
Lope De Vega made all at Chantilly, and the fourth and second, Behkabad and Planteur, have since finished one-two in the Grand Prix De Paris.
Both races were on soft ground but Lope De Vega had earlier disposed of Dick Turpin on a sounder surface – officially ‘good’ – in the French 2,000 Guineas.
The ground is said to be ‘good’ again today, giving Dick Turpin’s stablemate, Paco Boy, a chance to show his Lockinge form, though his narrow defeat at Ascot by Goldikova, giving 3lb, was probably a better performance.
Regarding the Longchamp terrain, I’m putting the word ‘good’ in quotes, since the French are a bit Irish in that anything better than a bog is good ground, and the Racing Post has failed us today (my edition at any rate) by omitting the measure on the going stick. Presumably there was no one in the office on Saturday capable of making a call to Paris.
Saeed Bin Suroor has shown his fine, patient horsemanship this season as the trainer responsible for the re-emergence of both Poets Voice (taught to settle) and Rio De La Plata (back from the doldrums).
Today’s return to Group 1 is a big step, however, and while Fuisse looks Group 3 and Via Medici is probably tilting at windmills in this Prix Du Moulin, Rio De La Plata may be struggling for third best with Siyouni behind Lope De Vega (2.43) and Paco Boy. And it seems significant that Frankie Dettori is in Germany to ride Godolphin’s Cavalryman (3.40) in the Grosser Preis Von Baden-Baden.
I’ve always thought that Bath racecourse should do an exchange with Baden-Baden. We could call our invitation race The Big Prize at Bath-Bath (doesn’t sound the same somehow, though, does it).
Godolphin have already beaten most of the Grosser Preis runners with Campanologist and look set for a third win in the race, following on from Mamool and Marienbard in 2002 (not last year).
Meanwhile, back at the camp – Eboracum, in fact – Five Star Junior (3.45) was a massive 18.5 on Betdaq this morning: he was badly hampered or would have been in the frame at least, when sixth to Joseph Henry in the Stewards Sprint at Goodwood and is 5lb better off with that one here.
Only four of the runners in the claimer (3.10) has won over the trip; of the three top ratings, two of them have done so - Charlie Cool and Jo’burg – but you might look a proper Charlie backing a Ruth Carr horse right now: she seems badly out of form.
Jo’burg is tempting, raiding from Sussex with a top man on board: his form figures since his first run last year of 4122100011200 become 2211 when ridden by Ryan Moore or today’s jockey, Seb Sanders.
The one I fear is the remaining runner in the three top rated, Trip The Light; he’s one of those that hasn’t won at this distance but there are a lot of positives.
His last win was a claimer on this course; he’s won twice at York, in fact; and he races in the van. Drawn 2 on the rail here, he could ‘do a Mark Johnston’ and play catch-me and disappoint the front-runner, five-times-a-claimer-winner Sunnyside Tom. I can back my two and save on ‘Tom’ in what is an interesting tactical contest.
Sequence horses which are improvers yet still manage to creep into the bottom of the handicap are rare, so I’m supporting Beat the Shower (4.20 at a tasty 9.2 on Betdaq) and, at Worcester, the rampant Mad Jack Duncan (4.40).
Strangely, Worcester offers a reminder of the follies of winter ante-post betting on the Derby: I was ‘told’ Kensington Oval (Sir Michael Stoute) for 2008 at Epsom and here he is (3.35) struggling – or, in this monkeys’ case, ‘not struggling’ – to make his mark in lowly novice hurdles for Jonjo O’Neill.
Tony McCoy bowled him along wide to avoid company at Newton Abbot last month but he still got caught out. A.P. is not one to be stumped but this one is a real test. Over to you, Tony (too many cricket puns – Ed).
DAQMAN'S BETS:
BET 5.4pts win JO’BURG, 2.3pts win TRIP THE LIGHT and 2.6pts win (saver) SUNNYSIDE TOM (3.10 York)
BET 7.2pts win LOPE DE VEGA (3.43 Longchamp)
BET 10pts win CAVALRYMAN (3.40 Baden-Baden)
WIN-30 JACKPOT: BET 1.7pts win and 1pt place FIVE STAR JUNIOR (3.45 York)
BET 2.4pts win BEAT THE SHOWER (4.20 York)
BET 10pts win MAD JACK DUNCAN (4.40 Worcester)
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