DAQMAN on Saturday

Saturday 24 April DAQMAN  IT’S ALL HERE FROM DAQMAN ON A BIG DAY’S RACING: Daqman has it all today in England and Ireland: a banker, two lays, a back-and-lay bet at 27.0, jackpot bets at 16.0 and 10.5 staked to win 50 points each, and doubles and a treble across the cards at Leicester, Ripon and Sandown. 200-POINT PROFIT SEQUENCES: The great man has already hit two April sequences of 120 points profit over Easter and 80 points from Monday to Wednesday this week. NINE LAYS UP OUT OF 11: Daqman is currently toppling the favourites at a rate of 82% (nine from the last 11) and is maintaining his overall 76% strike rate with 26 from the last 34. 2.00 Sandown A Pipe plunge is rare these days but they’ve gone for the 2008 winner Mous Of Men big time this morning, while the Henderson paper favourite, Optimus Maximus, has drifted like a dog on a raft. Tritonville Lodge has been saved up for a sound surface and is the ‘wrong’ price at 16.0 on Betdaq this morning. The one they’ve totally ignored is Helium (27.0), fancied for the 2009 Cheltenham Festival when he arrived from France and quickly landed two wins from two races. Things went wrong but, after a recent pipe-opener on AW before scoping badly when plans were laid for an Aintree coup, the front-runner is a huge back-and-lay bet here, tongue-tied for the first time. 2.30 Sandown (Celebration Chase) Twist Magic didn’t want to know at Cheltenham and Punchestown, and Paul Nicholls admits that he can’t guarantee the horse won’t plant himself and refuse to race. But he’s never liked Cheltenham and Sandown’s his ‘home’ (three wins including by 10 lengths in this last year), so he’s just as likely to take it into his head to have a good day. This is being lumped together with the mistake by the Twiston-Davies team in running Imperial Commander too soon after the Gold Cup, but this is the right thing to do: to try to end the horse’s season on a sweeter note on his favourite track before putting him away. It’s the same hope for Oh Crick, who has been out of sorts. Chaninbar, I’m So Lucky and Mahogany Blaze are packing in the big races and I don’t like to back horses which are running as an afterthought or playing catch-up on their season. I like the progress made by the youngster Fix The Rib, close up at Newbury, conceding weight, to Mahogany Blaze (third in this last year): 7.4 on Betdaq this morning. 3.05 Sandown (Gold Cup) This goes to young horses with only around a dozen chases to their name, so it will be a surprise if the winner doesn’t come from – in descending handicap order – The Package, Kilcrea Castle, Just Amazing, Fairoak Lad, Nostringsattached and Martys Mission, with preference for the three seven-year-olds. The Package was all geared up for the Grand National and you just don’t know how much it has taken the edge off him; he certainly didn’t like his day at Aintree. Philip Hobbs has finished the season like the proverbial train, but Fairoak Lad, the gamble of the race, is still only a novice whose experience is limited to Market Rasen and Wincanton. Just Amazing (10.5 on the Daq) has already made all the running twice in today’s conditions at Cheltenham and is bred for the top, the sire Presenting – his sons include Denman, Dunguib and War Of Attrition – again finishing leading jumps stallion this season and, on the dam’s side, he is related to Grand National winners Hallo Dandy and Rhyme ‘N’ Reason. 3.40 Sandown (Sandown Mile) Remember last year: will Paco Boy stay the mile? He did, too – with a 6lb penalty - and he later won a Group-1 mile at Ascot. There’s no penalty this time and his main rival, Confront, isn’t even up to Group-2 level so far. However, Sir Michael Stoute is a master at improving older horses and my man in the long grass reports Confront is ‘absolutely flying at home and was unlucky in Dubai.’ The clincher, betting wise, is that I can back Confront each way at 5.9 on Betdaq this morning and get most if not all my win stake back if the horse is only second or third. 4.15 Sandown (Gordon Richards Stakes) Paper-favourite Crowded House is still living off his 2008 Racing Post Trophy win; he has never won beyond a mile, and horses that have had a hard campaign in Dubai are not coming back home and winning. As well as Confront, Stoute has another older horse with the potential to improve in Glass Harmonium, also working well, but the vibes are for Laaheb, who will like the ground and has been handled so well by Mr Patience himself, Michael Jarvis, who is on the point of hitting a big stride. TODAY'S BET BANKER 10pts win PETIT ROBIN (1.30 Sandown) WIN-50 JACKPOT BETS: 3pts win and 1pt place TRITONVILLE LODGE, 2pts win and 1pt place HELIUM, and 3pts win MOUS OF MEN (2.00 Sandown) BET 2pts win and place SCARLET ROCKS (2.25 Leicester) BET 2pts win and place FIX THE RIB, and 2pts win (saver) TWIST MAGIC (2.30 Sandown) WIN-50 JACKPOT: BET 5pts win and 2pts place JUST AMAZING, plus 1pt win (saver) FAIROAK LAD (3.05 Sandown) BET 2pts win and place LA SARRAZINE (3.10 Punchestown) BET 3pts win and place CONFRONT (3.40 Sandown) LAY to win 5pts CROWDED HOUSE and 5pts win LAAHEB (4.15 Sandown) BET 2pts win and place GILDED AGE (4.25 Punchestown) LAY to win 5pts DIMAN WATERS (6.00 Haydock) BET 1pt win and place UNA PELOTA (6.35 Haydock) DAQ MULTIPLES:  3 x 1pt win doubles and 1pt win treble Petit Robin (1.30 Sandown), Alyarf (3.35 Leicester) and Harris
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