DAQMAN on Wednesday

Wednesday 10 March DAQMAN  GOING FOR GOLD AT CHELTENHAM: As the going changes, Daqman is firming up his Cheltenham bets with an eye to value from fancied horses that will be favoured by the ground. DAY OF ‘DUCK-EGGS’ THAT COULD BE BROKEN: He also finds several dark horses running today; those with little or no form – a row of ‘duck-eggs’ – but unexposed and likely to do better. Again, the odds are good. LOOK OUT FOR BETDAQ VALUE: It’s Betdaq value all the way now, with Imperial Cup weekend ahead, then Cheltenham all next week followed by the start of the Flat and the Spring Double of Lincoln Handicap and Grand National. Watch this space! Cheltenham is the stuff that dreams are made of and there’s nothing better to concentrate the mind for next week’s carnival than a winner. Every stable likes to be doing well just before the grand occasion, and Ferdy Murphy has hit form with three from his last seven runners. While the continuing dry weather furthers his Festival hopes for Kalahari King, Stuff Of Dreams (3.20 Catterick) would boost stable confidence as one who has needed all the yard can bring to his steady maturity. The difference between them is what cod’s roe is to caviar but Kalahari King has never made the main course at Cheltenham: third time on the premises, there’s no question of luck. He needs to serve up that bit extra than when fourth to Captain Cee Bee in the Supreme Novices Hurdle and that final-stride defeat in last year’s Arkle by Forpadydeplasterer. Kalahari King hasn’t been out of the first four for three years nor out of the first two for 10 races, since he was third in the Scottish Champion Hurdle. I’m taking 6.2 today. At similar offers (6.6) for another second favourite, I’m a Somersby man for the Arkle in this weather. Again, it’s the drying ground that sways me against the Irish and brings the front of the market down to just one or two who will like the surface. I believe that, as in the case of Kalahari King, the big punters will wake up to this and take the edge off the prices about the good-ground horses as their first final-week step into the Cheltenham arena. On the day, place bets or lays will redeem the stakes. The top Festival yards of Nicholls, Henderson, King and Hobbs are all at Fontwell, but none can compare with Gary Moore at this track and – to join Stuff Of Dreams – I have another with a row of duck-eggs ready to break through today: Mossini (8.0 for the 2.40, as I write) has also taken time to come to hand in a race the stable won last year at similar odds. The change of going prompts me to oppose Ray Mond (3.10) but what’s going to stop him, apart from the ground: another Gary Moore horse, the firm-surface winner Space Cowboy, is 8.4 to return to form off a mark nearly 30lb below his hurdles best but his jumping hasn’t got off the ground lately. Laharna has been one-paced (and expensive to follow, as beaten favourite four times since he last won), and maybe the step up in trip is the answer, but you wouldn’t bet on it. So it is that the unexposed Ballingaddy completes my trio of horses yet to reach the frame recently but likely to today. Again, with this point-to-point winner who ran well enough on his Rules debut over fences, we have an each-way price (6.2) in an eight-runner race. There are two six-horse fields at Wolver tonight which couldn’t’ be more different in shape. I shall get involved in the 6.30 several times, starting with a bet (to lay in running) Ishiadancer, who’s front-run three times in her last four races, and is 8.0 as I write. I shall also be snapping up the 13.5 The Kyllachy Kid, a CD winner aimed too high last time, and who would have finished in front of Ishiadancer last time they met but for being slowly away. Finally, in running, I shall hope that Ishiadancer’s fast start eases Cheviot from his current odds on. I shall aim at cover for a break-even race with ‘Kyllachy’ my lottery ticket: if he wins, I’m quids in. In the other six-horse affair (7.30), we have four contenders who all won one of their last two races, but none in the field has shown early pace, so bang goes my idea that it must be between the only horses to have won at the trip: Houston Dynimo and Quince. Slow away twice, Satwa Moon finally got the hang of it here last time but steps up nearly three furlongs now and, had there been any pace on, was a likely lay at 1.82, as I write. As it is, I’ll return to my opening theme of second favourites and have a pound on the ‘Dynimo’ at 4.7 with everything else double-figure unfancied. Do we have lift-off, Houston? TODAY'S BETS BET 1pt win and place MOSSINI (2.40 Fontwell) BET 2pts win and place BALLINGADDY (3.10 Fontwell) BET 2pts win STUFF OF DREAMS (3.20 Catterick) BET 1pt win THE KYLLACHY KID and 1pt win (saver) CHEVIOT (6.30 Wolverhampton) BET 2pts win HOUSTON DYNIMO (7.30 Wolverhampton) ANTE-POST BET 4pts win KALAHARI KING (Champion Chase, Cheltenham) ANTE-POST BET 4pts win SOMERSBY (Arkle Chase, Cheltenham)
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