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Jump on the wagon late in the day and the band could be all played out and, in any case, when trainer or horse hits a winning streak, you’ll have to bet odds on. Not today you won’t. Philip Hobbs has scored a sensational 15 straight prizemoney wins from first (six), second (five), third (two) and fourth (two) places - no losers - but his only runner today, on a track where his strike rate is around one in four, was 7.0 on Betdaq this morning. Not that he needs to improve much in this modest field, but Yetholm (4.35 Ffos Las) has several new things going for him now: he’s stepped up in trip, the ground has changed, he’s blinkered for the first time and Richard Johnston is back in the saddle almost a year after the grey met today’s favourite, Harquet. Though it was an inconclusive private contest that day, Harquet’s being trained by Nicholls and ridden by McCoy means that he’s almost certain to head today’s market. This despite there having been a second meeting between the pair, in which Yetholm came off markedly the better. Yetholm was runner-up, unfancied at 33-1, while Harquet was the beaten favourite, only seventh of 12 in a conditionals race at Newbury in November. As the man said, don’t make sense, do it! In fact, Nicholls has a poor record at Ffos Las – one winner since the track opened – and I’m taking him on again in the last: Exotic Man is paper favourite on the Nicholls name and on his being a half-brother to Exotic Dancer. That doesn’t cut a lot of ice with me in a bumper but it gives me a better price about Sir Bere (5.40), with Rebecca Curtis two from two in NH Flat races here teaming up for the second time today with her new sidekick, a certain A.P. McCoy. They’ve had eight winners from 18 starters. In fact, the Racing Post spotlight can go overboard about breeding, bringing Newtonian physics to bear in the most tenuous of circumstances: for instance Ben The Horse here is regarded as a staying type because his dam was a great grand-daughter of an Irish National winner. By the way, is the name of Ben’s owners a village in Wales? The Curtis-McCoy show hits the road running with Black Jack Blues (2.20) a worthy favourite; nowhere is there better than 2-1 on this morning. Clearly one for the Daq Multiples. But, at the same time, blackjack rules – if you want to win – say that you should sit at the end of the table and watch the way the cards fall before getting involved. This race shapes up like a duel for the lead between the favourite and Bendant (back and lay at 14.0 offers on the Daq), with Bendant sure to collapse in price if the pair go clear early on, leaving you an easy get-out. I shall sit at the end of my computer table and have an opening interest in Bendant but I shall put the favourite in doubles in case he runs me ragged early on. Other good offers about front-runners for back-and-lay purposes this morning were at Lingfield: 16.0 Hold The Bucks (3.15) and 12.5 Annia Galeria (5.30), who is now weighted to take a hand in the finish. Paul d”Arcy is two out of three on the course in races like the 3.50, where Fazbee can wait on a couple of headstrong types, only 3lb higher than when performing a similar trick over CD in January. If Stratford is on, have a pound on Or d’Oudairies (4.50), with the tongue-tie back on and the stable in fine form; was most consistent last term and has dropped below his winning mark; 9.8 offers on the Daq as I write. TODAY'S BETS | |
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Monday 8 March
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