DAQMAN on Thursday

Thursday 19 November DAQMAN  THIRD DAQMAN 100 IS JUST A LAY AWAY: Daqman recorded his 299th successful lay when Colombard (unplaced 11-4) failed to reach the first three yesterday, just as another paper favourite, Whispered Times, had done the day before.   ANOTHER GAMBLED-ON NAP WINS: As ever, Daqman’s nap was subject of a gamble on the night at Kempton though, as ever, Khor Dubai (won 4-7) was good odds against on Betdaq in the morning exchanges. Somersby and Tranquil Sea were the two big finds in my horses-to-follow list earlier in the month. Triggernometry was on it more as a course banker. That course is Wincanton. And he’s running there today. But, once again I’m up against mixed messages from the trainer. You wonder: are these stable tours worth the paper they’re printed on, after those yes-no Paul Nicholls words about Master Minded and then yesterday’s warnings from Jonjo O’Neill before his pair won? But, to be fair to Jonjo, even he may have calculated without the incredible McCoy. My bet, Victoria’s Groom, became the bridesmaid, as McCoy galvanized a dodgy-at-some-fences Synchronised to win. Similarly, he outsmarted Dougie Costello on my choice, Ballybriggan, waiting until the last few yards to pounce on the notoriously tricky Market Rasen run-in, when the winning post never seems to come back to you. But McCoy knew where it was to the nearest yard. He fair lifts them home, doesn’t he. Not since Lester Piggott have I heard racegoers continually muttering ‘how does he do it?’ The old adage that ‘they can’t come without the horse’ didn’t apply to Lester; no more does it apply to McCoy. We shall not see his like again, and I enjoy every ride he has, win or lose. Ignore me – as you will Jonjo in future – when I get to thinking: surely, not this time. So come on then, Daqman? What’s the problem with Triggernometry? Answer: the trainer runs two, and is equally convinced that ‘Trigger’ and Classic Clover are ‘almost specialists’ at Wincanton. Triggernometry (3.00) is in good form at home but the ground is plenty soft enough and, although jockey Joe Tizzard has opted for him, the money this morning was for Classic Clover and no wonder: the CD winner off just 1lb lower in today’s conditions is very handily placed down the handicap. I’m laying the paper favourite, Deep Quest: I don’t think this is his track and he’s been given a harsh revised weight. He’s won all his races at Exeter, and needs that Haldon Hill. Even on soft ground, Wincanton’s turns look too fast for him. Deep Quest’s yard is without a recent winner, which also applies to Tony Martin’s stable and, in any case, Fakima’s chances are probably slim at age 11, Richard Johnson or no. The in-form Tizzards have another big shout with Captain Marlon (3.30): however, this race normally goes to an improving young horse, not yet one of the many ‘thinkers’ at this level who remember hard driving: nothing over the age of six has ever won it, nor has any favourite. Captain Marlon has a modest strike rate and Bundle Up has taken only sellers and claimers. Tilly Shilling was well backed when down the field on firm ground on her first run for Tim Vaughan, and early offers were well taken this morning; these very different conditions should be appreciated by a Montjeu mare. Another well backed last time, and in the front five in the morning market, is Dalaram (2.30): I’m a big fan of Sean Curran and his is one of only three yards in any kind of form for this contest, ‘Kingy’ (Blue Dark) and Martin Keighley (King Ozzy) being the two others. According to the Alan King stable tour (here we go again), Blue Dark is showing ‘plenty of bounce at the minute’, though when the ‘minute’ of that interview was, we are not told. Whatever, ‘Kingy’ has been tempted by this before he sets Blue Dark on the novice-chase route. Like Paul Nicholls and Vico (1.00) in the first. Vico’s future is over fences but he may be good enough to give the Nicholls’ yard five winners out of six in this race. The Tizzards’ Inside Dealer is in with a chance, while another Double Trigger gelding - Triggerman with Philip Hobbs – and the King hope, Midnight Appeal, are all dangers but not so’s you’d fancy them particularly. It looks hard all day for punters at Wincanton but the 1.20 Hereford could help save the bank: eight successive SP favourites have won this (only one older than seven). I don’t fancy Bid Art: his weakening only close home over 2m 4f looks the obvious pointer to this two-miler but he’s done the same thing over today’s distance and his moderate jumping costs him vital energy. The stables of Daring Racer and Rince Down are in form and New Rackheath could step up on recent poor efforts, now racing on one of Evan Williams’ favourite tracks. Another ‘local’, this one to the Giffords, is Huntingdon, where Nicky saddles Wizard Of Odds, looking for better ground than he would have had at Cheltenham (withdrawn). Wizard Of Odds (1.10) is a ‘glass horse’ – doesn’t stand much training – but the Gifford family has always loved to have a winner on the track and this looks a modest event, though I did see a Barney Curley beast lurking and Paul Webber has booked A.P. McCoy (who?) for Ashammar. Barney tests his Cesarewitch third, Sereth (12.40), in the opener, but we’re surely better to wait until he’s qualified for handicaps. Mount Helicon (1.40) should improve after a breathing operation but the Big Ears Partnership seemingly have their money down early on Nautical Approach (forecast 9-1, showing 4.5 on my Daq as I write). That’s a Noddy bet to me after several placed efforts have cost him a rise in the handicap. Is there a gem today? That’s likely to happen in the 2.10, where Dave’s Dream looks the real McCoy. Well, Nicky Henderson seems very pleased with his schooling and the Imperial Cup winner has an ‘easy’ in the absence of Michael Flips. At Kempton, Moojeh (7.00 Kempton) has improved for a change of stables; there’s a strong whisper for Aviate (4.00) – ‘working well and shown enough to collect’ –  and Mainstay (5.00) knows enough to manage a weak maiden. But the hushed tones are for Eleanora Duse (4.30): ‘much better than she has shown so far’ and ‘she has been impressive on the gallops lately’. Let’s hope she does her best.
TODAY'S BETS
BET 6pts win VICO (1.00 Wincanton) BET 3pts win WIZARD OF ODDS (1.10 Huntingdon) LAY to win 5pts BID ART (1.20 Hereford) BET 3pts win MOUNT HELICON (1.40 Huntingdon) BET 1pt win and place BLUE DARK (2.30 Wincanton) LAY to win 5pts DEEP QUEST, and BET 2pts win CLASSIC CLOVER and 1pt win TRIGGERNOMETRY (3.00 Wincanton) BET 1pt win and place TILLY SHILLING (3.30 Wincanton) BET 8pts win (nap) ELEANORA DUSE (4.30 Kempton) BET 3pts win MAINSTAY (5.00 Kempton) BET 2pts win and place MOOJEH (7.00 Kempton) DAQ MULTIPLES: 3 x 1pt win doubles Vico (1.00 Wincanton), Dave’s Dream (2.10 Huntingdon) and Eleanora Duse (4.30 Kempton) We are now recording the daily profit and loss of DAQMAN to help readers gauge the current form of the service. We will provide the profit / loss on the previous day to a £1 level stake on each selection (eg: a 5 point bet = a £5 stake). In the interests of consistency the profit / loss will be recorded at SP prices, however BETDAQ users can reasonably expect to beat SP in the majority of races. Wednesday's Return was: PROFIT 6.18 points
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