Betdaq Extra

DAQMAN on Wednesday

Wednesday 30 September DAQMAN  ARC PREVIEW: Daqman continues his countdown to the weekend’s Arc de Triomphe with a view on Dar Re Mi and more news of the betting. KING OF THE LAYS: The king of the lays, currently on five in a row, hits on two more paper favourites at Nottingham today. His main bets are both at Salisbury. No jokes please about the phantom of l’Opera: Andrew Lloyd Webber and his trainer, John Gosden, are on a serious mission of sweet revenge for Dar Re Mi on Sunday and they have more than a ghost of a chance. While Sea The Stars has been building his amazing Group-1 sequence, Dar Re Mi would have rolled up a star series of her own, had the French Stewards not intervened. What you can’t take seriously is the Tote’s 12-1 about her chances in the Arc de Triomphe. Not when you can still take up a 31.0 offer (in from 49.0) on Betdaq this morning. In fact, victory for Dar Re Mi would be yet another huge triumph for exchange betting, with one punter holding 1000.0 in his Current Bets stack list. I bet he calls it up and looks at it every five minutes; I know I would. Apart from Dar Re Mi, only Beheshtam and Youmzain are attracting bets on Betdaq. At 14-1 and 20-1 with some bookmakers, they are respectively 54.0 and 25.0 on the Daq. Value or what! One of Dar Re Mi ‘s victims last season strikes a chord with my theme; it was Folk Opera at Newmarket. That came before the Gosden filly beat the French in the Prix Minerve at Deauville and then ran up to Lush Lashes in the Yorkshire Oaks. There was plenty for connections to sing about there but her season’s crescendo – which puts her in the 2009 Arc picture whatever this year’s form – was her second to Zarkava in the Prix Vermeille. Zarkava went on to become the first filly since Urban Sea (dam of Sea The Stars) to win the Arc and the first of her sex to take it in only her second season since 1982. With Dar Re Mi’s continued top-class form this season, only a cursory assessment of the Arc field would have you believe that she is the main danger to Sea The Stars on Sunday. Dar Re Mi, who acts on any going has, like her sire, Singspiel, improved with age this campaign. She’s already beaten our Oaks winner, Sariska, and – ignoring her brush with the draconian French rules – beat French Oaks winner Stacelita fair and square in this year’s Prix Vermeille to complete a Pretty Polly, Yorkshire Oaks, Vermeille sequence, only without the last pot allowed on her mantel. Today is karaoke as opposed to opera but I’m told that Sir Michael Stoute unleashes one of his better two-year-olds in Longliner (1.25 Salisbury), impressive on the gallops of late. Working in a quartet with Rule Of Nature, Workforce and one other, he readily pulled on and, again, showed up very encouragingly over the weekend and knows his job well on debut. Last time out, Mon Cadeaux (4.15) either didn’t take the step up in trip, or it was the Goodwood track (went wide), or both, but I’m prepared to forgive that and continue my support. Though highly tried as a juvenile, In The Mood (4.50) has a fair mark off 65 in her first handicap. Yes, she’s carrying top weight but this looks a modest event, as you’d expect of a class 6. She caught the eye on Saturday morning when working nicely half a length in front of an 85-rated horse in Clerks Choice, who has been in good form over 8–10f this season. Taking on her elders is a worry well allowed for in the 8.4 available on Betdaq, with that homework suggesting she could be up to 20lb well treated and is now tackling a more realistic grade and trip. Leitzu (5.10 Nottingham) was given too much to do over 9f at Newmarket but finished well in a way that suggests the extra furlong will certainly suit here. The nice long straight will help. Fantastic Pick should lead the pack at decent fractions and, having run well in a 0-85 last time, the drop in grade to a 0-75 has to be another positive but Leitzu has always worked nicely at home with the likes of Gallic Star and Texas Queen, and the favourite is a ridiculous price at 1.15 as I write. This is a new trip for Fantastic Pick; he looks as though he’ll get it easily but appearances can be deceptive and, at the odds on, I can lose only pennies if I oppose him. I’m also laying paper favourite Papyrian (4.35): he’s had six chances now, and the step up to a mile did nothing for his CV last time out. I’ve got 16 others on my side, including a Channon, a Meehan, a Jarvis and a Johnston.
TODAY'S BETS
BET 8pts win (nap) LONGLINER (1.25 Salisbury) BET 6pts win MON CADEAUX (4.15 Salisbury) LAY to win 10pts PAPYRIAN (4.35 Nottingham) BET 2pts win and place IN THE MOOD (4.50 Salisbury) LAY to win 10pts FANTASTIC PICK, and BET 2pts win and place LEITZU (5.10 Nottingham) We are now recording the daily profit and loss of DAQMAN to help readers gauge the current form of the service. We will provide the profit / loss on the previous day to a £1 level stake on each selection (eg: a 5 point bet = a £5 stake). In the interests of consistency the profit / loss will be recorded at SP prices, however BETDAQ users can reasonably expect to beat SP in the majority of races. Tuesday's Return was: LOSS 19 points
	Try a BETDAQ Multiple today and enjoy better value odds. New to Multiples? Click to Learn More

IRELAND'S EYE on Wednesday

Wednesday 30 September

IRELAND'S EYE

Sligo on the flat today will provide the fulcrum of our betting strategy and on a card where winner finding looks quite trappy. However the rising riding star that is Gary Carroll looks to have decent prospects of a double with one of his mounts in particular looking good value in a nursery while the featured 10f handicap can go to a dual scorer from an in form yard.
 
Disappointment yesterday with just savers Sailon Silvergirl (10/1) and Tiger O’Toole (3-11/4) filling the frame while nap Aliceaneileen (7/4-6/4) finished outside the placed horses and the same applies to the gambled on The Paddy Premium (14-7/1) and Duroob (9/1) in a Roscommon handicap hurdle. Though we got Pay The Ferryman (5/2) turned over our second lay Teach Nua (11/2) took the gloss of proceedings.

Gary Carroll has been earning rave notices this year and there is little doubt that the aspiring young rider is going places and he can add to his seasons tally with a double at Sligo this afternoon.

He teams up with the in form Paul Magnier in the 6 1/2f nursery at 3-40 with the lightly raced filly Golden Willow and though the daughter of One Cool Cat is just making her fourth career start and second on grass she indicated on her final run and first on this surface when keeping on to take a fair eight placing in a Fairyhouse 6f maiden eight days ago when starting at odds of 50/1! Nevertheless that was a step up on her two efforts in all weather contests at Dundalk where she finished mid field in a couple of 6 and 7f maidens and though she is not ideally drawn in 1 here she could spring a minor surprise at the expense of the more experienced Your Gifted from the Paddy Prendergast yard who has been running well in maidens and handicaps from five furlongs to seven on mainly easier ground.
 
Feature event on the Sligo card is a 10f handicap at 5-15 which brings together a decent field of handicappers headed by the Pat Martin trained Kaitlins Joy who is seeking her sixth career success. However the 4yo looks to be high enough in the weights and we will be siding with Maal and All About Timing against the field here. The first named a dual handicap winner over this trip in addition to a bumper and flat maiden for the David Marnane yard signalled a return to form when staying on to take a fair fifth to Rose Hip in a competitive Listowel handicap over the trip 12 days ago and the Colm O’Donoghue ridden 6yo should go close here off a mark just 5lbs higher than when attaining his last win at Cork over a year ago. However we will just give the vote to the Jim Gorman trained All About Timing who has bagged his two career wins to date at Ballinrobe over 9f on good to firm and the 4yo was not beaten that far at the same venue in a handicap over a week ago on yielding to soft when taking third.
 
The concluding ten furlong maiden at Sligo can see Mick Halford combine with 5lb claimer Gary Carroll to land the 6-15 contest. The lightly raced 4yo finished fifth over 13f to Gratified in a Fairyhouse maiden on his debut on soft ground and the son of Dalakhani has been dropped in trip in his two subsequent runs but significantly he did show definite improvement on final start on better ground when finishing a close enough third to Oasis Fire in a Dundalk maiden last time over a mile. This trip could prove ideal and he may prove too strong for the more experienced Tom Hogan trained 4yo Quench The Flame rated 68 on the strength of decent efforts on mainly easy ground from 6f up to 10f. The Fran Berry ridden gelding recent runs over 9f saw him not beaten that far in handicaps and he can chase home the selection.
 
ADVICE
BET 3pt win GOLDEN WILLOW 3-40 Sligo
BET 2pt win (saver) YOUR GIFTED 3-40 Sligo
BET 3pt win ALL ABOUT TIMING 5-15 Sligo
BET 2pt win MAAL 5-15 Sligo
BET 4pt win (nap) ODIN’S RAVEN 6-15 Sligo
BET 2pt win (saver) QUENCH THE FLAME 6-15 Sligo

 
We are now recording the daily profit and loss of Ireland's Eye to help readers gauge the current form of the service. We will provide the profit / loss on the previous day to a £1 level stake on each selection (eg: a 5 point bet = a £5 stake). In the interests of consistency the profit / loss will be recorded at SP prices, however BETDAQ users can reasonably expect to beat SP in the majority of races.

Tuesday's Return was: LOSS 44.5 points

 

IRELAND'S EYE on Tuesday

Tuesday 29 September

IRELAND'S EYE

Roscommon stages an all National hunt card today where there looks to be a few decent value bets in the maiden hurdles while a 9yo at a longer price appeals in a handicap. Meanwhile at Sedgefield the Irish are once again represented but we will be siding with a 6yo on his first start for a new yard in a handicap chase.
 
We did not have much to enthuse about yesterday with just Fisher Bridge (2s morn-11/8) taking a modest runner up spot in the Grade 3 novice chase and Palm Ridge (9/2)  and Your Night Out (5-4/1) just finishing out of the frame at Roscommon.

Davy Russell and Pat Flynn should be on the mark in the opening division of the mares maiden hurdle at Roscommon this evening at 2-35 with Aliceaneileen on her sixth start over hurdles. A maiden under all Rules the 4yo has shown promise in most starts over sticks to date and she went down fighting when losing out by less than a couple of lengths to the experienced Backtothekingsnest in a Tramore 2m 4f handicap on her penultimate outing on good ground before not quite getting home on softer ground at Listowel over the same distance in another handicap over a fortnight ago. This trip and ground should prove ideal for the daughter of Indian Danehill and she could have most to fear from Niall Morans 6yo Sailon Silvergirl who has shown steady improvement in her last couple of starts over jumps and though she has to find 8lbs on official ratings with the selection that is offset by the seven pound claim of Liam McNiff. Pay The Ferryman boasts the most experience and dareisay consistency but Tom Mullins 6yo is proving most frustrating.
 
The 2m novice hurdle at 3-35 over the minimum trip looks a wide open affair with Dermot Welds Teach Nua likely to go off favourite to land her second success over jumps following her win at Galway in first time blinkers. However she disappointed when those aids were left off at Downpatrick last time and though blinkers are re-applied again this afternoon the Paul Townend ridden 5yo is overlooked despite the fact that this surface should prove ideal for the daughter of Val Royal. Noel Meades Asigh Pearl must rate a leading contender on the back of an easy success in an ordinary Bellewstown maiden hurdle over 2m 1f last time with Paul Carberry again on board but there could be wisdom in going against the principals here with a couple of less exposed types. Although Dessie Hughes mare Quidem Meus is only a 4yo there was a lot to like about her performance in taking a Ballinrobe maiden hurdle on just her third start 8 days ago and she again has the assistance of 5lbs claimer Ian McCarthy and gets a generous allowance from most of the older and more experienced runners here. Indeed it could be one of those – namely Tribes And Banner who could pose the main danger as the Charlie Swan trained 5yo has been competing well against stronger opposition in his recent starts and was not beaten that far by Next Week in a decent Listowel hurdle eleven days ago. Another who merits a mention is the easy Clonmel scorer Vision Of Glory who won with plenty in hand on just her second career start at Clonmel recently in admittedly weaker company on heavy ground.
 
Irish trainers are represented by Supply And Fix and Perpetum in the 2m 4f handicap chase at Sedgefield this evening but the home challenge looks vastly stronger here with Tiger O’Toole and Categorical looking the two to concentrate on to land the main prize. The first named – a 4yo representing the in form Evan Williams yard is making his chase debut following a win in a two mile Plumpton handicap hurdle over a week ago may have to play ‘second fiddle’ to Categorical who is seeking his second chase success on his debut for the Lucinda Russell yard. The 6yo was generally quite consistent for Norman King and with 3lb claimer Cameron Gillies on board he can land the spoils here over a trip and ground which suits.
 
Course hurdle scorer Seefin Dancer (over 2m on heavy) will have his supporters in the 2m 4 1/2f handicap hurdle at Roscommon this evening at 5-05 but though Noel Meades relatively unexposed 6yo must have prospects of landing his second success over flights we will side with the Mark Molloy trained The Paddy Premium to spring a minor surprise here with Martin Ferris in the plate. Though the former point winner is lightly raced he does appreciate better ground and the 9yo is only 6lbs higher than when achieving his sole success under Rules when landing a Limerick 2m 3f handicap on good ground over two and a half years ago. He did not shape too badly on his first start for some 9 months at Kilbeggan recently and rates an interest at the forecast prices. Top weight Duroob with his 4lb claimer on board could prove the main danger on the strength of his staying on third to No Stopping Sarah at Ballinrobe over a similar trip on latest and the former two time hurdle winner could go close off an identical mark here.
 
ADVICE
BET 4pt win (nap) ALICEANEILEEN 2-35 Roscommon
BET 2pt win (saver) SAILON SILVERGIRL 2-35 Roscommon
BET lay to win 5pt PAY THE FERRYMAN 2-35 Roscommon
BET 3pt win QUIDEM MEUS 3-35 Roscommon 3-35 Roscommon
BET 1pt win (savers) TRIBES AND BANNER and VISION OF GLORY 3-35 Roscommon
BET lay to win 5pt TEACH NUA 3-35 Roscommon
BET 4pt win CATEGORICAL 4-30 Roscommon
BET 1pt win (saver) TIGER O’ TOOLE 4-30 Roscommon
BET 3pt win THE PADDY PREMIUM 5-05 Roscommon
BET 2pt/1pt win (savers) DUROOB and SEEFIN ANGEL 5-05 Roscommon

 
We are now recording the daily profit and loss of Ireland's Eye to help readers gauge the current form of the service. We will provide the profit / loss on the previous day to a £1 level stake on each selection (eg: a 5 point bet = a £5 stake). In the interests of consistency the profit / loss will be recorded at SP prices, however BETDAQ users can reasonably expect to beat SP in the majority of races.

Monday's Return was: LOSS 11 points

 

DAQMAN on Tuesday

Tuesday 29 September DAQMAN  ARC LIGHT: Daqman sheds some light on an Arc de Triomphe runner every day this week. Today’s spotlight is on Beheshtam, 54.0 on Betdaq this morning.   BETDAQ VALUE: Meanwhile, he finds Betdaq value for today’s racing at 24.0, 19.0 and 12.0. Ever since the Aga Khan won last year’s Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe with Zarkava, he has had his sights set on a repeat with Beheshtam. Though the target has remained a long shot, the colt may yet be the French top-gun. While Stacelita required the stewards to help her keep intact her record- but hardly her reputation – Cavalryman has taken front rank for the home side. But, when odds on, Cavalryman beat Beheshtam by only half a length in the Prix Niel 16 days ago, with the Aga Khan’s colt still a big baby. He really is a big horse and his immaturity, and the way he has been handled with care, has been a feature of Beheshtam’s races. After he won at Longchamp in the Spring, connections supplemented him for the French Derby but the race was clearly too short for him – it’s too short to be called a Derby anyway – but he finished impressively to take fourth. He was suddenly flavour of the month and, before the Grand Prix De Paris, I suggested in this column taking 65.0 for the Arc but I was bitterly disappointed in Alain Du Royer-Dupre’s ‘big boat’ (yes, I got a bit temperamental). Beheshtam looked ungainly, unhappy and still very immature, failing to respond to Christophe Soumillon in the Longchamp straight. He was sixth in a very good field, in which Cavalryman beat Age of Aquarius, with the subsequent St Leger winner, Mastery, in third. So do we call it progress that the Peintre Celebre colt closed down Cavalryman to half a length in the Niel? If we do, we call it 10lb of progress on the face of it; if he’s gone on to improve again by only a pound or two since, he is the ‘same horse’ as Cavalryman and, therefore, their respective offers on Betdaq this morning of 13.5 Cavalryman and 54.0 Beheshtam are somewhat out of kilter with the form. Talking of babies, I can’t remember so many two-year-old races; can you? The first three at Southwell are juvenile events and the one to take out of the 2.50 may be Sir Mark Prescott’s Rock of Gibraltar colt True To Form but, as a late foal, the Derby entry may need this in terms of experience, with the trip against him, too. Michael Bell has had 11 runners in 11 days without a winner but Horseradish is all the rage this morning to change his luck on a track where he is two from four with two-year-olds in recent seasons. At bigger offers – I can see 24.0 on Betdaq as I write – the sprint-bred Cookie Galore has been shaping well for the comeback kid, Jeremy Glover, and did a sharp breeze with a winner from the yard to put her right for this. Another two-year-old filly at the ‘wrong’ price is Tislimeen, 19.0 this morning as Red Fantasy corners the market for the 2.40 Warwick. But is that fantasy, with trainer Barry Hills’ poor, poor record with juveniles on the course (5%)? Rule Of Nature also has each-way claims. Godolphin’s Landowner (3.10) has been sent to Coventry by Betdaq backers – well, it’s not far from Warwick – out to 9.0, as Viking Dancer and Music Maestro dispute favouritism. Ed McMahon’s youngsters have been doing well, and Sternlight  at 8.0 (‘working nicely and expected’ says my man in the long grass) is a strong each-way threat to Viking Dancer. First-time-in-a-handicap Rosiliant (4.40 Warwick) is a big price at the 12.0 offer I see before me on the Daq.
TODAY'S BETS
BET 1pt win and place on each RULE OF NATURE and TISLIMEEN (2.40 Warwick) BET 5pts win HORSERADISH, and 1pt win and place COOKIE GALORE (2.50 Southwell) BET 2pts win and place STERNLIGHT, and 4pts win VIKING DANCER (3.10 Warwick) BET 1pt win and place ROSILIANT (4.40 Warwick) We are now recording the daily profit and loss of DAQMAN to help readers gauge the current form of the service. We will provide the profit / loss on the previous day to a £1 level stake on each selection (eg: a 5 point bet = a £5 stake). In the interests of consistency the profit / loss will be recorded at SP prices, however BETDAQ users can reasonably expect to beat SP in the majority of races. Monday's Return was: LOSS 11 points
	Try a BETDAQ Multiple today and enjoy better value odds. New to Multiples? Click to Learn More

DAQMAN on Monday

Monday 28 September DAQMAN  ARC BETTING SHOCK: Daqman today reveals the truth about the Arc betting. Is it ‘shock horror drama’? It is as far as your wallet is concerned, says Daqman, but it’s what we’ve come to expect. MARKETS REVIEW: Other bookies’ markets also come under fire as Daqman warms up for a big week of racing. FIVE LAYS IN A ROW: Yesterday he tore up yet another paper favourite, Nudge And Nurdle (2nd), his fifth consecutive winning lay for a massive 20 out of the last 23, an 87% strike rate. His record is 16 on the trot. Now it’s six! Well, I did warn you, didn’t I: don’t go near the bookies’ Derby 2010 odds. Beresford winner St Nicholas Abbey is their sixth favourite for Epsom already, and they haven’t run this year’s Arc yet. It’s long odds about any of those ‘favourites’ actually turning up at Epsom next year. Ah, but the Beresford race is different you say. Granted last year’s winner was Sea The Stars but seven of the previous nine didn’t make it to the English Derby. And there’s nothing more certain than that there’ll be more ‘favourites’ after the two-year-old championships of Dewhurst and the Racing Post Trophy, to name but a few, as they say. The two big Newmarket meetings are launched this week, dwarfed financially by an Arc weekend which, I’m certain, will see more hackles raised over the Dar Re Mi disqualification. John Gosden might even have the answer that sportsmen all over the world know as the ultimate recourse: he runs Dar Re Mi in the Arc and beats them all. Unfortunately his revenge will be taken not on the French – their best hope is Cavalryman, a respectable distance behind in the market – but on the Irish, who have the front two in the betting, Sea The Stars and Fame And Glory, and Sir Michael Stoute, who saddles Conduit. I shall review the race day by day in this column by focusing on each contender, starting tomorrow. The first Arc ‘shock’ is no shock at all to followers of Betdaq; it’s what we’ve come to expect: nine of the next 10 in the market behind Sea The Stars are bigger odds in Betdaq offers than they are with bookmakers; the other one is about the same. So, if you do want Cavalryman, why take the bookies’ 10-1 (max) when you can get 14.0 on the Daq? If you fancy the outsiders, Beheshtam and Spanish Moon, neither of them forlorn hopes, you can trade 54.0 about each, where Beheshtam is only 12-1 with one bookmaker in the Racing Post ‘markets’ (page 10) and Spanish Moon as low as 16-1. In the worst scenario, assuming Sea The Stars at even money, the bookmakers ‘version’ of the Arc market adds up to 144% for the front 11. But the 10 offers behind the favourite, taken with Sea The Stars as an even-money favourite, create a ‘book’ on Betdaq of 110%. I dropped a Haggas horse into the mix for the Cambridgeshire yesterday and Alfathaa was the ‘moral’, failing by only half a length to give more than a stone to the winner in the last at Ascot. He was cut to 20-1 with one bookmaker. Otherwise I’ve been in an out of form; it doesn’t help when the likes of Sayif and Advanced take their turn to win just when you’ve given up on them. I was ready to oppose the long-time maiden Rakaan (2.10 Bath), still dining out off his Coventry third, but everything else is very easy to back; they don’t want to know Desert Poppy, out to 13-2. Another paper second-favourite, Fault (2.40), has walked to 8.0, leaving Total Impact very short at the front of the market. Suba (4.00) is the word for Wolverhampton; unlucky at Goodwood, she is proverbially ‘flying’ at home and is a solid each-way, with Stoute and Prescott runners making a price for me. The withdrawal of Noble Greek (4.30) leaves Barlaman with his big chance, back to the minimum. I’ll back him to pay for the Suba bet, with maybe a pound left over for a treble with those unopposed  favourites.
TODAY'S BETS
BET 3pts win and place SUBA (4.00 Wolverhampton) BET 4pts win BARLAMAN (4.30 Wolverhampton) DAQ MULTIPLES: 1pt win treble RAKAAN (2.10 Bath), TOTAL IMPACT (2.40 Bath) and BARLAMAN (4.30 Wolverhampton) We are now recording the daily profit and loss of DAQMAN to help readers gauge the current form of the service. We will provide the profit / loss on the previous day to a £1 level stake on each selection (eg: a 5 point bet = a £5 stake). In the interests of consistency the profit / loss will be recorded at SP prices, however BETDAQ users can reasonably expect to beat SP in the majority of races. Sunday's Return was: LOSS 18.75 points
	Try a BETDAQ Multiple today and enjoy better value odds. New to Multiples? Click to Learn More

IRELAND'S EYE on Monday

Monday 28 September

IRELAND'S EYE

After a day off on Saturday we had technical problems yesterday but we hope to return in triumphant fashion today where a mixed card at Roscommon where we can let ourself go with an improving chaser in a competitive novice whilst a four year old mare is taken to land a less than competitive mares novice chase.
 
Saver Williams Wishes (7/2-3/1) kept our run of winners going on Friday when landing the opening maiden hurdle at Worcester where our well supported nap Keoghs Bar (3-9/4) faded badly in the closing stages.

Aidan O’Briens Purple Heart is bidding to open at the fourth time of asking in the opening 7f maiden at Roscommon at 3-15 and though today will be the first time that the son of Sadler’s Wells will encounter fast ground he has been somewhat disappointing in the main and at the current odds Johnny Murtaghs mount is overlooked on this occasion. With John Oxxs yard still looking for their first 2yo winner their representative Keredari is passed over and we will concentrate on the once raced runners to land the spoils on this occasion. Andrew Olivers My Point Exactly probably boasts the best form on the strength of his promising third in a Curragh maiden over this trip on starkly contrasting ground over a fortnight ago with the fourth finisher Jan Vermeer scoring in the interim. Though he started as one of the complete outsiders there he should start at much shorter odds on this occasion and another who fills the same profile is the Kevin Prendergast trained Munaawer. This fellow started at fancy odds on debut in a decent Curragh Leopardstown maiden over this trip over three weeks ago where he was far from disgraced in finishing a fair fifth to the useful Chabal who only gave best to the highly promising Kingsfort subsequently in the Group 1 National Stakes. Another who should improve for his initial effort is Dermot Welds Palm Ridge who kept on to take a reasonable fourth placing in an average  Gowran 7f maiden over three months ago.
 
The Grade 3 two mile novice chase at Roscommon at 5-15 this afternoon may only have 7 runners but it looks a fascinating contest which sees five of the younger/progressive grade take on the admirable near veteran Emmpat – fresh from maintaining his 100% chase record when accounting for warm favourite Archie Boy at Listowel. Though the 11yo will certainly relish the ground he could find it tough to match strides with some potentially decent sorts and chief amongst these are Let Yourself Go and Fisher Bridge. The former won his sole point on fast ground at Ballybunion two years ago and though Adrian Maguires lightly raced 7yo has landed a bumper, hurdle and two chases to that tally in the interim on mainly soft and heavy ground the son of Zaffaran has always shaped as if better ground would see him in a better light. Having landed a Ballinrobe novice on his second start having disappointed on better ground on chase debut when his stable were not quite ‘on song’ he put up a decent performance when lowering the colours of hitherto unbeaten Montero (gave 9lbs) on demanding ground at Galway over 2m 1f where he put in a fine round of jumping. Well back in third on that occasion was Wins Now who has subsequently landed a Ballinrobe novice event last week. However the selection who has the 3lb claims of Shane Hassett to draw upon meets a potent danger in the guise of the Noel Meade trained Fisher Bridge who is rated a stone superior to him over hurdles and the Paul Carberry ridden 6yo put up a nice performance when snugly accounting for his main market rival Streets Of Gold on chase debut over 2m 4f at Kilbeggan over two weeks ago on soft to heavy. His best form has been achieved with some ease in the ground however while the ground will hold no fears for the Paul Flynn trained unbeaten dual chase scorer Kalleshan while another who cannot be left out of calculations is the likely front runner and dual hurdle winner Norther Bay who will appreciate the good to firm ground and Eoin Griffins 6yo can improve for his initial effort at Ffos Las behind Archie Boy who was conquered by Emmpat last time.
 
A three mile mares novice chase at Roscommon at 5-45 and this is certainly a contest which at face value will not take that much winning. Leader in the betting is he only subsequent Park scorer Conker Nails but with a rating of 89 William Codds 8yo hardly looks bombproof and her three efforts to date over fences have not been that jaw dropping. The one that our vote falls on is the unexposed 4yo Your Night Out from the William Durkan yard who has achieved a hurdle rating on par with Conker Nails on her four efforts to date over flights and her fair sixth placing to recent winner No Stopping Sarah on her handicap hurdle debut at Ballinrobe over three months ago should see her go close here on her chase debut whilst the 56 rated flat maiden has been running consistently on the flat more recently. Though the trip could be on the sharp side the Mark Molloy trained Kingston Queen could rate a small saver here as the 6yo who won her maiden point in decent style on testing ground at Belclare last year should not be inconvenienced by better ground as a daughter of Moscow Society and has the benefit of a run over fences in addition to her point experience.
 
ADVICE
BET 3pt win MUNAAWER 3-15 Roscommon
BET 1pt win (savers) PALM RIDGE and MY POINT EXACTLY 3-15 Roscommon
BET 4pt win (nap) LET YOURSELF GO 5-15 Roscommon
BET 2pt win FISHER BRIDGE 5-15 Roscommon
BET 3pt win YOUR NIGHT OUT 5-45 Roscommon
BET 1pt win (saver) KINGSTON QUEEN 5-45 Roscommon

 
We are now recording the daily profit and loss of Ireland's Eye to help readers gauge the current form of the service. We will provide the profit / loss on the previous day to a £1 level stake on each selection (eg: a 5 point bet = a £5 stake). In the interests of consistency the profit / loss will be recorded at SP prices, however BETDAQ users can reasonably expect to beat SP in the majority of races.

Sunday's Return was: n/a

 

DAQMAN on Sunday

Sunday 27 September DAQMAN  DAQMAN’S GAME: Daqman’s jackpot tilt paid no dividends yesterday but he won yet again at the game he knows best, laying the favourites. FOUR IN A ROW: He made it four in a row for the week and an incredible 19 out of 22 – an 86% strike rate – when Bruslini (2nd 7-2) was beaten in the first at Market Rasen. TODAY there’s another lay on the same course, a first-race dutch and another jackpot tilt (at 14.5 on Betdaq) at Ascot. Racing goes into the final day of the Ascot Festival still in mourning: after the recent deaths of two fine young riders, we now have the bitterness and disbelief of the gross French injustice to Dar Re Mi, so casually confirmed. There is not much left of an old-fashioned Sunday, except to try to fight for the obvious principles that make life worth living. Racing has been quick to commemorate the tragic loss of those riders, and rightly so; it should now be straight out of the blocks to call off all contact with the French – and all owners remove their entries – until sanity and decency are restored to the great tracks of Paris and Chantilly and the racing those young jockeys loved is put on a par of commonsense, true intent and, in this case, true entente. This is as dirty as any drugs scandal in that it taints the sport at its very heart, which is betting and competing on a level playing field. It is pointless pussy-footing, and saying: well, the French have their Rules. The French, as the rest of the world knows, have their Wrong Rules. They must be persuaded that, to ignore the precarious nature of such decisions as the Dar Re Mi affair, opens them to charges of ‘politics’ and corruption, whether or not there is any foundation for such charges. Only concerted action brings about change. Leave them to swim blind in their own pond; they’ll soon ask for directions. 2.05 Ascot It was amazing to see one of my first bets of the day on offer at around 23.5 on the exchanges this morning; no wonder he’s now trading 13.0 on Betdaq as I write.. Waldvogel has run better than his finishing positions have suggested this season but he hasn’t been getting home over 14 furlongs and reverts to 12 today. He has been working smartly with Bon Spiel and Rangefinder of late and looks in top form. The key to him is that he needs to settle off a strong gallop. He should have no worries on that score, with Australia Day, Record Breaker and Night Crescendo all confirmed front–runners. Though Storyland has let me down in the past, Kirsty Milczarek gets the best out of her. But, if you stop the tape two out in his last two races, Waldvogel has been thereabouts and his good work at home leads me to feel that he’s value: I want Unleashed and Storyland on my side as well so, with odds of 8.0 twice and 13.0, I can have a profit-busting dutch for a small outlay. 3.15 Ascot (Diadem Stakes): Palace Moon is two out of four for the season, but is three out of four overall when racing over 6f on good to firm or faster, with his only defeat by a short head and with his latest win boosted by the third, Jimmy Styles, as winner of the Ayr Gold Cup. But is he Group class? Dream Eater is interesting, dropped back in trip, with a Group placing already achieved, albeit over further. The big fields yesterday piled over to the far side; high numbers were markedly favoured, and I’d be worried about the draw for Wokingham and subsequent Group-3 winner, High Standing. He has to defend a threequarters-of-a-length CD success over Asset on 12lb worse terms but he’s been working very well indeed and the return to a firm surface will bring out the best in him. He really caught my eye in a strong gallop on Tuesday morning when joining the classy Alfathaa over 6f, the pair quickening up smartly. But it may be that the form horses have had their say this season, and such as the Pricewise tip, Tamagin, can sneak past them though he, too, is exposed and I can’t see a winner of more than five-years-old in the history of this race, delving right back into the last century. For me, at 14.5, it has to be track-specialist Art Connoisseur to bounce back; he really impressed in a gallop the other morning; the Golden Jubilee winner is unbeaten at Ascot and has a plum stall (15); at 12.0 this morning, he must be backed each way with Dream Eater. OTHER RACES With that High Standing gallop in mind, I’ll take the 11.0 on offer about Alfathaa (5.00 Ascot). My first leg of the Autumn Double, he needs this confidence booster, having run in inadequate races lately. Still with the Autumn Double, Cesarewitch ante-post favourite Swingkeel (4.25) would pick up only a small penalty if he won today. He has never been out of the frame over 2m; his record is won two and beaten in two photos from five runs. Only the extended 2m 5f of the Goodwood Cup caught him out but he still ran a respectable third. At Musselburgh, Ascendant (4.50) continues to display a good attitude at home. He is working well and he is the type to only just do enough. I hope he is acquired by a decent National Hunt yard to go hurdling as I feel he could be potentially a Champion Hurdler. He keeps improving and he’ll make the long journey North worthwhile for the Prescott team today. Some consolation for the Dar Re Mi stable could come from Azmeel (4.30 Curragh) who bypassed Group entries for this. The Washington Singer winner is very smart, and my man in the long grass has seen him work better than Royal Lodge fourth High Twelve. I got Philip Hobbs right yesterday; he missed strike in three races at Market Rasen, including my lay, with Bruslini (2nd), Hibiki (3rd) and From Dawn To Dusk (3rd). He has presumably left one over in the racecourse stables, so I wanted to lay into that one, too, but punters have seen the light and Fairoak Lad (4.00) was easy to back this morning. Also hitting the bar, with only one winner from his last 23 runners, and a disappointment at his beloved Perth this week, is Nigel Twiston Davies. I shall lay his Nudge And Nurdle (5.10) to continue the stable’s and the horse’s poor runs.
TODAY'S BETS
BET 3pts win on each UNLEASHED and STORYLAND, plus 2pts win and 1pt place WALDVOGEL (2.05 Ascot) WIN-50 JACKPOT BET 4pts win and 2pts place ART CONNOISSEUR, plus 2pts win and 1pt place DREAM EATER and 3pts win (saver) HIGH STANDING (3.15 Ascot) BET 6pts win AZMEEL (4.30 Curragh) BET 6pts win ASCENDANT (4.50 Musselburgh) BET 3pts win and 2pts place ALFATHAA (5.00 Ascot) LAY to win 10pts NUDGE AND NURDLE (5.10 Market Rasen) DAQ MULTIPLES: 6 x 1pt win doubles Ascendant (4.50 Musselburgh), Alfathaa (5.00 Ascot), Azmeel (4.30 Curragh) and Swingkeel (4.25 Ascot) We are now recording the daily profit and loss of DAQMAN to help readers gauge the current form of the service. We will provide the profit / loss on the previous day to a £1 level stake on each selection (eg: a 5 point bet = a £5 stake). In the interests of consistency the profit / loss will be recorded at SP prices, however BETDAQ users can reasonably expect to beat SP in the majority of races. Saturday's Return was: LOSS 14.75 points
	Try a BETDAQ Multiple today and enjoy better value odds. New to Multiples? Click to Learn More

DAQMAN on Saturday

Saturday 26 September DAQMAN  GET A WINNING POSITION WITH DAQMAN: Daqman’s been in top form this week, scoring yesterday with a 30-point return from Secure My Position (won 5-1), and doubling it with Shamandar (won 8-11). 39 POINTS PROFIT: He had six winning bets on Monday, including a 12-1 double, and a double whammy (lay and winner in the same race) LAYS DOUBLE UP: And on Thursday he added two more lays to make it three out of three on the week when he opposed two paper favourites at Fontwell. TODAY IS JACKPOT DAY: Today he attempts no fewer than four win-50 jackpot bets and a goes for a big, big return by putting them in Daq Multiples.   There are too many question marks to bet at short prices in the Queen Elizabeth 11 Stakes: Is Rip Van Winkle at his best? Can lightly raced Zacinto reverse Celebration Mile running with Delegator? Has Aqlaam finally come good? A tactical small-field race makes it yet more difficult for punters. So I’m going to play up my winnings this week, with some seriously speculative punting in the handicaps: jackpot bets with doubles and trebles. 1.55 Ascot (Listed) The stats say that you can forget half the runners: three-year-olds have won every time since 2000 and, on the four occasions there has been a fair-size field, stalls 1-through-6 have reached the frame only once in 12 placings, the right-hander into the straight throwing them wide. The quirky Balaagha should hold Perfect Star and Lady Francesca on course form in July but is worse off with Resort, who may have most to fear from Applause, seemingly the improver of the race. You would normally expect the double-figure draw to help Damaniyat Girl reverse Bath running with Annabelle’s Charm but Silver Games is not too well positioned to avenge York defeat by Shamwari Lodge. However, I’m going to oppose all that and take Annabelle’s Charm (13.0 on Betdaq), relying on Kieren Fallon’s jockeyship against the draw bias; knowing that the filly needs further, the imposition of being out wide may turn out to be a bonus. ’Charm’ has been working really well at home and matched strides with the smart Glowing (see 4.50 race) when pulling three lengths clear of Axiom (see 3.40) in a strong gallop on Tuesday morning.    2.30 Ascot (Royal Lodge Stakes) Another round mile, but fewer runners to cause problems at the bend. No longer a top Classic trial, and the last four winners had all failed in lesser Group races. That would restrict this to Black Spirit, Vale Of York (holds Timely Jazz and therefore Waseet) and Big Audio (holds Dubai Miracle and Dreamspeed). Aidan O’Brien has a 75% win-and-place record from his 12 runners – three wins – but his pair haven’t been seen in the right places so far, and John Gosden’s previous three winners of this had done better at this stage than High Twelve. Ahmed Ajtebi gets on very well with Vale Of York, and he has been working smartly at home since his Goodwood win. Frozen Power would look the first string on jockey bookings, but Vale Of York has been crying out for the step up in trip and worked very impressively on Monday morning. 3.05 Ascot (Fillies Mile) This is the start of a bookies’ benefit. Not the race itself but it’s propensity for throwing up false 1,000 Guineas favourites; the winner of this never wins at Newmarket. It’s a race I’m going to watch, since it seems to revolve around whether or not the ground was the cause of Long Lashes defeat last time. We’ll soon know; one of these is going to look good but she won’t win at Newmarket. 3.40 Ascot (Challenge Cup) I’m put off Marching Time at the price because the first four in the two big-field straight races at Ascot yesterday produced seven out of eight places from stalls 10 to 19. The exception was, seemingly, Shamandar, but he went over to join the high-stalls runners, and it was left to my each-way bet, Pose to win the stands’ group (would you believe my luck, 5th of 27 at 33-1). Luckless Redford has the draw and the ground against him and I don’t think a first-time visor will help. Forget horses that ran at Ayr, and ignore those who have failed in the race before, like Big Noise, Giganticus and Dhaular Dhar. Horses aged three and four dominate, so my short-list is: Cadre, who ran above himself last time, CD winner Castles In The Air, autumn horse Noble Citizen, and the freshened up Seek N’Destroy and Swift Gift, who could still be a force despite a further rise in the weights. Swift Gift (16.5 on the Daq as I write) is my high-stall pick but the pace seems to be in the middle with Noble Citizen and Seek N’ Destroy, so I’ll assume they will tow Cadre and Castles In the Air – also middle drawn - into the frame. Cadre has been a huge exchange deal at 36.0 this morning. OTHER RACES: Prohibit (3.00 Haydock), the Wokingham fifth, has a big chance here from his good draw. Brae Hill (4.25 Chester), who won early in the season, has been brought back for an autumn campaign. The offers of 22.0 Cool Operator (3.15 Market Rasen) are plum loco; he goes massively well when fresh and was lightly raced when not capable of taking on the top-line novices. LAY: There’s a cut-throat hurdle to open with on the roundabout track (1.35 Market Rasen), with three last-time winners who all like to go a pace. Yet the paper favourite is the maiden Bruslini from a stable out of form. Bruslini is also a front-runner and, theoretically, he’ll have his throat cut here, unless he’s far, far fitter than the rest of the Hobbs team.
TODAY'S BETS
LAY to win 10pts BRUSLINI (1.35 Market Rasen) WIN-50 JACKPOT: 4pts win and 1pt place ANNABELLE’S CHARM (1.55 Ascot) BET 2pts win and place VALE OF YORK (2.30 Ascot) BET 2pts win and place PROHIBIT (3.00 Haydock) WIN-50 JACKPOT BET: 3pts win and 1pt place COOL OPERATOR (3.15 Market Rasen) WIN-50 JACKPOT BETS: 2pts win and 1pt place CADRE and 4pts win and 1pt place SWIFT GIFT, plus 1pt win on each CASTLES IN THE AIR and SEEK N’ DESTROY; total stake 10pts (3.40 Ascot) BET 2pts win and place BRAE HILL (4.25 Chester) DAQ MULTIPLES: 5 x 1pt win doubles and 2 x 1pt win trebles  Annabelle’s Charm (1.55 Ascot) and Cool Operator (3.15 Market Rasen) with Cadre and Swift Gift (3.40 Ascot). We are now recording the daily profit and loss of DAQMAN to help readers gauge the current form of the service. We will provide the profit / loss on the previous day to a £1 level stake on each selection (eg: a 5 point bet = a £5 stake). In the interests of consistency the profit / loss will be recorded at SP prices, however BETDAQ users can reasonably expect to beat SP in the majority of races. Friday's Return was: PROFIT 12.32 points
	Try a BETDAQ Multiple today and enjoy better value odds. New to Multiples? Click to Learn More

ED CHAMBERLIN'S Weekend Sporting Preview

Saturday 26 September

Join Sky Sports Pundit ED CHAMBERLIN in his regular Weekend Sports Preview below. Simply press play below to tune into Ed's exclusive DAQCAST - covering a whole host of weekend betting opportunities on the DAQ including the QEII Stakes at Ascot and the ICC Trophy amongst other big events......

---

Alan McInally's THREE FOR THE WEEKEND - Asian Handicap Special

Welcome to BETDAQ EXTRA - it's another massive weekend of Premier  League action with the first match coming on Saturday lunchtime with Portsmouth hosting Everton.

As a bonus this week - Alan is focussing on the BETDAQ Asian Handicap markets - the bet that has revolutionised football betting.

BETDAQ'S PR Director RUSS WISEMAN caught up with Alan earlier today and brings his three recommended Asian Handicap bets on the DAQ for the weekend.

Tune in now, just press play below.....

  

---