DAQMAN on Saturday

Saturday 18 July DAQMAN  THE GAIN IN SPAIN: Alicante (won 9/4) gave DAQMAN a winner from just three races on Friday to make it 84 winning bets over the last 34 days FLIP FLOP ON BETDAQ: He lost a fractional 0.31 points on the day but on better value Betdaq you can reasonably expected to have finished the day in front TOPPING THE LEADERBOARD: 215 points profit (again at SP) over the last 24 days   Tom Dascombe is everyone's tip for the top, no limit, and he has the stats on his side in the Super Sprint at Newbury this afternoon - despite the soft ground. History says you need a filly (11 wins in 15 seasons) with two or three runs to its name (five out of five), preferably having raced at Royal Ascot (seven of the last 10): Dascombe’s Above Limits fits all the stats, yet carries only 8st. because she cost so little at the sales. Dascombe’s climb is not just numerical (12, then 26 and 42 winners, in his first three seasons) but he’s made his name at Group level – two Group 2 winners last July – and is particularly feared in juvenile races. He’s carved out experience with top trainers that should have equipped him for temperament (first job with Mr Laid Back himself, Henry Candy), the hunger for winners (five years with Martin Pipe) and panache at international level (assistant to Mike De Kock). Above Limits, too, has the requisite experience: she showed plenty of speed at Sandown and the same natural dash saw her finish sixth in the Albany at Royal Ascot, despite having to race alone on the far side in a contest which developed more towards the stands’ rail. Willie Haggas targets this race – two wins so far – and his filly Shamandar gets in lightly via her price-tag of a mere 3,500 guineas as a yearling. Though Richard Hannon is stable supremo of the race with six of the 17 winners, be warned that he’s had five beaten favourites since 2002 and his last two scorers were 14-1 and 100-1. Her sales price puts Reach For The Sky in here with a featherweight; she’s had a couple of months off to mature for this after a first-time win, and Jimmy Quinn is a handy booking. Best of the colts is probably the exposed Here Now And Why, who has a good high draw and a low weight, which can only be positive in this ground. They ran up the centre in one race on Friday, but otherwise came up the stands side rail, which would benefit middle to high draws. Today, the stalls are going to be put in the middle of the course, which may lessen the bias to the higher draws. Those drawn low, however, need not be written off as the pace seems to be on that side and they will still have the rail to follow. Taking that into account I will go each-way on Hannon’s Chocolate Cookie, who is by Desert Style from an unraced Cape Cross mare, and therefore should like the ground. Barry Hills saddles Full Of Love (2.50) on a nice mark for the fillies’ handicap, switching her from a handicap restricted to her own age group on the July Course where Aim To Achieve (3.05 Newmarket) does duty for the stable instead. I rate both solid chances, and I’ll bet that he wins with one or the other. Isabelonabicycle (5.05 Newbury) can improve further after her win over this distance last time out. Although she is unraced on soft ground, her sire Helissio ran 3 of his 8 wins on it. Cleaver beat her at Goodwood in May and is proven on this ground; however, she ran from the front on that occasion and should be able to wield her revenge today. Market Rasen has a top bill of jumpers: with so few horses – and stables – in form at this time of year, the Summer Plate (3.40) has gone eight times in the last decade to horses finishing first or second on their last start and the top three in the betting have scored in all bar one. Peter Bowen is going for a four-timer and the pick of his quartet may be Iron Man who won this race two years ago off a mark of 134. However, he fell last time out and even off a very competitive mark of 123, does not have the form to back up a performance today. For me, the pick of the in-form horses is McCoy’s mount Nostringsattached who won at Ffos Las last time, but he has paid the price of that win with the handicapper. Horses with 11st 3lb or more have a dismal record, with 45 starters securing first prize just once in the 10 years. So I have gone for Prestbury Knight, carrying eleven stone, who could have a good each-way chance back on this trip after trying for further. The course and distance winner should add to the impressive 36% strike rate at Market Rasen of Paddy Brennan and Nigel Twiston-Davies’ partnership.
TODAY'S BETS
BET 5pts win FULL OF LOVE (2.50 Newbury), if lose 8pts win AIM TO ACHIEVE (3.05 Newmarket) BET 4pts win ABOVE LIMITS, plus 1pt win and place CHOCOLATE COOKIE (3.25 Newbury). BET 1pt win and place PRESTBURY KNIGHT (3.40 Market Rasen) BET 2pts win ISABELONABICYCLE (5.05 Newbury) We are now recording the daily profit and loss of DAQMAN to help readers gauge the current form of the service. We will provide the profit / loss on the previous day to a £1 level stake on each selection (eg: a 5 point bet = a £5 stake). In the interests of consistency the profit / loss will be recorded at SP prices, however BETDAQ users can reasonably expect to beat SP in the majority of races. Friday's Return was: LOSS 0.31 points
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