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Amazing changes happen and we either don’t notice them or we take them for granted. If, for instance, you are reading this, you will probably be one of those having a bet on the Daq this afternoon. It will hardly turn heads in surprise, if I say that there are place-only facilities available. Perhaps what I should say to wake those conditioned by years of betting with bookies is that, when you have a place bet on Betdaq, you can take a price at the time. You can take a price in a separate market. Without having a win bet. It’s a revolution that’s almost gone unnoticed. When you trade place only, you can do a deal at the odds you want. When you bet each way, you know both win and place returns at the time you bet. When you take SP with a bookmaker, blind to the odds outcome, you have to accept a quarter or a fifth the place whatever was decided without your knowledge at the ‘off’? You have to do the same with the Tote; they still can only give you ‘an indication’ despite computerisation, so you have to make an educated guess what the ‘dividend’ might be. With Betdaq, you bet to your own requirements. To prices clearly set out before you. And you get what it says on the tin. After I decided to oppose Mikael D’Haguenet yesterday, I thought more and more about it and picked up all that was offered at the time of writing for a place-only bet on Western Charmer. I couldn’t get over the fact that before my eyes, in what I had decided was clearly a two-horse race, there was 3.5 a place Western Charmer with two chances of a return whereas ‘Mikael’ was 1.38 the win, with only one chance. Value or what! For a while, I felt quite guilty about gobbling up the place liquidity at that price but I needn’t have blushed; similar offers kept on coming. Western Charmer was second at 8-1 but, as I collected at my 2.5-1 a place, punters with the bookies received only 1.60 and with the Tote 1.40. And backers of the winner took home just 0.33 profit for every pound. At Lingfield today, I like the 3.15 as a betting medium: you can knock out the three runners of Peter Grayson’s; he runs his horses for (expensive) fun, and, according to the Racing Post, hasn’t had a winner from 81 runners in 119 days; Peter Makin is also on the ‘cold’ list; and Taboor looks vulnerable, even in this company, at the age of 11. Value at 14.0 as I write is The Magic Blanket: has run well after a break before. The 3.45 a place is better than the 2.93 win offer Bollin Franny. Both Fastrac Boy and Twinned usually go off like the clappers so they could set it up for Bollin Franny, with The Magic Blanket my idea of the best outsider. In the 1.45 classified, seven runners have had more than 80 races among them without troubling the judge: the rest of the field constitutes 75% of the ‘book’ – best trades - as I write and picking from them should ensure you are in a value position. I won’t have the pair aged 10 and 12, and Abbeygate hasn’t won for nearly three years. That leaves Golden Square, winner of a Kempton ‘cap off higher than today’s official rating which is further reduced by the boy’s 7lb claim: 8.2 the win and 2.9 the place. But the winner is more likely to be Brian Smart’s sole raider, Samson Quest. Bearing in mind those many slow maidens in the race, the offers aren’t bad: 3.65 to win with four-fifths of your win stake back from a level place saver. Majehar (3.45) was a strong bet for me last time but he couldn’t get a run when he wanted it, with his rider doing the hokey-cokey, in and out, shaking all about. Compensation awaits: a quick step up for Tom Queally. | |
| TODAY'S BETS | |
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BET 3pts win and place SAMSON QUEST, plus 1pt win and place GOLDEN SQUARE (1.45 Lingfield) | |
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Monday 5 January
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