Betdaq Extra

DAQMAN on Saturday

Saturday 22 November DAQMAN STRIKES AGAIN: The Betdaq tipping maestro was in record- breaking form yesterday with six more winning bets following eight on Thursday for an 80-point profit in two days. RECORD: He now needs only nine more for his fastest century. His current record is 27 days but he’s hit 91 wins already in the 21 days of November. RECORD: Two more bismarcks sunk yesterday gives him TEN OUT OF TEN LAYS in the last 20 days with favourites the target every time. DOUBLE WHAMMY: Both yesterday’s lays were hot favourites: Party Frock (2nd 6-4) at Wolverhampton last night and Naiad De Misselot (2nd 8-11) at Kelso earlier; Daqman did his famous ‘double whammy’ in the Kelso race by also tipping the winner, Palomar (won 9-4). FOUR IN A ROW: All this week, Daqman has been naming ‘golden nugget’ horses for the future; all have won. With their possible target races, they are: Kalahari King (Arkle), Spring Dream (Mares’ Final), Cooldine (Sun Alliance) and Mad Max (Ballymore), winners at 11-8, 4-5, 6-4 and 2-5 but all better odds on Betdaq in morning trades. * Daqman is in daring mood again today, laying yet another big-race favourite.    Away with you, Jack! There are cracks showing in the profile of the favourite for today’s Ascot Hurdle: the race is too far; he’s too young; and his form has been let down. Yet he’s 11-10 as I write. Win or lose, there’s no value in that price. Lay him. This is a tough, stamina test, even on good ground, and all winners this century had previously scored over at least 19 furlongs; Crack Away Jack has concentrated on two miles, albeit showing the potential to get further. But the last four-year-old to win was in 1986 and only half a dozen have even tried. Crack Away Jack’s best form is with the non-stayer Squadron and with Super Formen, only eighth to Punchestowns this week; novices have won today’s race only in the years it was transferred to Windsor. Tough-as-new-boots Lough Derg, Nicky Henderson’s magic mare Chomba Womba and Paul Nicholls’ consistent stayer Elusive Dream – five wins out of seven – have all shown the power and heart to win over 21 furlongs. I’m going to bet that one of them aces the jack, and I think it will be Chomba Womba on the reckoning that my man says Elusive Dream may just need the race; Lough Derg carries most penalties and his stable is under a cloud; Franchoek is even less likely to get the trip than Crack Away Jack. It will be 15 years come Cheltenham next March since a mare, Mysilv, won the Champion Hurdle and nine since one called Snow Drop won the Triumph; now here comes Chomba Womba, with a win over the title-holder, Katchit, in the book this season. Trainer Nicky Henderson already has Binocular (1.40 Haydock) favourite for the Champion Hurdle and so short today that you can only put him in Daq Multiples to ‘buy’ a bit of cash as you roll up a treble (which I’m sure you will, with Kauto Star also around at Haydock). It’s all Henderson and Nicholls today: stamina worries over 19 furlongs at Ascot is the concern for Henderson’s My Petra (Mahogany Blaze, too) in the Grade-2 chase, whereas Oslot (3.05) gets further. Oslot wasn’t spot on at Aintree and blew up, according to Nicholls. Nicholls should also score with Poquelin but Jack The Giant is red hot this morning to win for Henderson with the rival stable’s Andreas on the slide to 8.4 as I write. Haydock is a similar tough mixture of small fields and hot favourites alongside very tricky contests like Glasker Mill’s race (2.45). I single him out because he’s 13.0 on Betdaq this morning and comes good at this time of year: he won at Cheltenham and then was a game runner-up to subsequent Ryanair third, Turko. On past form there is nothing to beat him apart from that man Nicholls again: he insists that Osaka D’airy has been needing today’s 3m; he’ll soon find out, since front-runners O’Maley and Naunton Brook are likely to make it quite a test. With the market wide open and telling me nothing this morning, it might be worth an each-way interest in The Wicketkeeper (3.15) in the two-mile chase: he would have stumped this field a year ago; his run back was promising and it seems to have dried out for him: 14.5 was worth the risk each way. Presenting Forever (12.05) is a ‘nugget’ to take out of the opener at Huntingdon: bred to be a jumper, and related to the likes of The Bajan Bandit, Team Wylie, with Howard Johnson and Denis O’Regan winning like wildfire right now, will surely get a return on their £370,000 purchase but I can’t be certain it will be today, though I would love to add another one to my four-timer of winning ’nuggets’ this week. Bonikos, from the Henderson yard, is an obvious threat but both Bonikos and Presenting Forever are only four-year-olds and 13 of that age group have tried and failed in this in the last three seasons, so I shall have a bit each-way on the more experienced Little Al (as long as The Big Fella doesn’t win, with Tommo commentating; that would put me off my lunch). The reverse is the case in the handicap hurdle, with older horses giving way to young, and Dancing Mist (2.55) looks poised to resume winning ways. I have to lay another morning favourite, Palarshan (2.25) - hasn’t won since January 2003 - particularly with Kelrev laid out for the race: he has to be caught fresh and connections have him down to the right mark: Betdaq trades of 9.8 this morning saw me milking the offers like a banker taking a government subsidy. Kenzo could bounce back from a dismal start – he’s done it before – but I can’t have Rathgar Beau; he needs two days of rain. At long odds (will 15.0 do you?), I’ll have a horse that once beat Impek and finished five lengths behind Voy Por Ustedes, and 10 lengths and 14 lengths behind Kauto Star. The name is Oneway and the list doesn’t end there: he was also four and a half lengths behind Natal in the Connaught Cup last term. Most of his poor form came when the Mark Rimell yard had a virus, and he’s another who goes well fresh. Africa’s Star (1.30 Lingfield) has been catching the eye over sprint trips in her work of late, and I’m no fan of the favourite.
TODAY'S BETS
BET 2pts win and place LITTLE AL and 2pts win PRESENTING FOREVER (12.05 Huntingdon) BET 6pts win AFRICA’S STAR (1.30 Lingfield) LAY to win 10pts CRACK AWAY JACK, plus 4pts win CHOMBA WOMBA (1.55 Ascot) LAY to win 10pts PALARSHAN ,plus 2pts win and place KELREV and 1pt win and place ONEWAY (2.25 Huntingdon) BET 4pts win DANCING MIST (2.55 Huntingdon) BET 2pts win and place GLASKER MILL (2.45 Haydock) BET 6pts win OSLOT (3.05 Ascot) BET 1pt win and place THE WICKETKEEPER (3.15 Haydock) DAQ MULTIPLES: Binocular (1.40 Haydock), Jack The Giant (1.20 Ascot), Chomba Womba, Kauto Star (2.15 Haydock), Poquelin (2.30 Ascot), and Oslot, charged to the account as 1pt trebles.
	Try a BETDAQ Multiple today and enjoy better value odds. New to Multiples? Click to Learn More

Ed Chamberlin's Weekend Preview

Saturday 22 November

Welcome to ED CHAMBERLIN's regular weekend sporting preview.

As always, the Sky Sports pundit takes a look at the best trading opportunities on BETDAQ across a range of sports.

In this weekend's DAQCAST - Ed's looks ahead at the Hatton fight in Las Vegas in the early hours on Sunday morning and a look at a bumper racing weekend.

To listen to the DAQCAST simply press play below.

DAQMAN on Friday

Friday 21 November EIGHT WINNING BETS yesterday put Daqman on 85 for the month of November which threatens his fastest-100 record (27 days). TWO LAYS OUT OF TWO: He laid two morning favourites, Nine De Sivola (2nd 11-8) at Market Rasen, and Paul Nicholls’ Lamanver Homerun (fell 7-4) on the trainer’s home ground at Wincanton. BET-OF-THE-DAY WINS: He named Cooldine (won 6-4) as his ‘nugget’ of the day, and a ‘goldmine’ for the future: the horse won first time over fences at Thurles by 19 lengths and 22 lengths, and was made favourite for the Sun Aliance at the Cheltenham festival. FIFTY POINTS PROFIT: Daqman’s other winners included Jigsaw Dancer (won 4-1) and Borero (won 11-4) for around 50 points profit on the day.  So the Tote is playing games with the punter, manipulating its Scoop-6 races for Saturday, stalling until the last possible moment so as to include those where it is almost impossible to pick the winner on form. In other words, it wants a lottery. What, in effect, this does is to hand the jackpot to syndicates which can afford massive permutation bets to cover the improbable outcome.  Therefore, the ordinary punter merely contributes to their wealth. If you hadn’t worked it out yet, that’s what the punter does every day when he bets with the bookmaker as he, unwittingly, gives them a proportion of stake equivalent to the built-in overround and, unknowingly, contributes to a market where small money stakes, returned and bet again, has the take-out removed so many times that it is as impossible to win as any Scoop-6. If you are selective about your bets, choosing value, and dealing only in markets on a level playing field, such as Betdaq, you can accumulate your personal jackpot over a period at fair odds. No one is manipulating the market – or the races – to try to stop you winning. Three times this week, we’ve looked for the ‘nugget’, the horse of real ability hidden among the dross with a golden future, and three times we’ve won: we’ve had Kalahari King (Arkle), Spring Dream (Mares’ Final) and Cooldine (Sun Alliance), winners at 11-8, 4-5 and 6-4 but all considerably better on Betdaq in morning trades (both the SP odds-on winners that I tipped yesterday were odds against on Betdaq). And, of course, on Betdaq you can pick losers as well as winners; you can lay: this column has had 10 out of 14 this month, all favourite or forecast favourite; stick to short prices and, if they win, you won’t have a big pay-out to erode your profits. If you can’t find the ‘golden nugget’ on the day, don’t be afraid to do a bit of ‘after-timing’: follow the horses in races that consistently throw up future winners, and also note those that don’t. THE FIRST race at Exeter today regularly produces good horses for the future: The Tother One (2007) started a sequence of four wins; Racing Demon (2004) went on to four out of six; Ashley Brook (2003) the next three out of six - and still winning, of course - and St Pirran (2000) scored in the next three out of five. THE LAST race at Ascot, on the other hand, is a thumbs down: though it’s very competitive, and a class-2, the three most recent winners have won only one of a total of 18 races since and have been among the favourites for big races at Ascot and Cheltenham afterwards and failed. I would pick the Introductory Hurdle (2.05) as the Ascot race for the future: in the last six years, it’s thrown up Monsignor - six consecutive wins after – and Rouble, who completed a hat-trick. I would certainly take out today’s winner as one to follow. I grabbed the 8.2 Secret Tune win and place on Betdaq this morning, with Tom George and Paddy Brennan both in great form, and with the Generous gelding third in a Group-3 at Royal Ascot and a ready winner first time up over hurdles. Horses are finding their level at this time of year and there are several ‘chancers’ in the race but Shoreacres has already proved he’s got some class: fourth in the Champion Bumper at Cheltenham, he ran away from a Nicky Henderson favourite to win his maiden hurdle at Huntingdon. Nicky’s Mad Max (12.55 Ascot) would have to be a ‘nugget’ for future ‘gold’: he has schooled perfectly and should end up a Ballymore Hurdle prospect. Today’s trades look short, but not so if the vibes are correct: the Alan King horse, Karabak, is said to badly need the run, so Mad Max is a better ‘price’ than he oughta be. Andy Turnell’s Jigsaw Dancer (SP 4-1) was a peach of a price for us yesterday and had them all strung out: won 10 lengths, 18 lengths and 12 lengths. The trainer has Kew Jumper (2.40) similarly placed in the handicap: he likes track and ground, and has stamina to spare over this field. The Exeter opener doesn’t look a strong contest and Paul Nicholls’ Fistral Beach (1.05) has been showing up well with yesterday’s winner Definity at home. The trainer is going for a hat-trick in the race and, remember, we picked this event out as a heat that will produce something good. The novice chase (1.40) looks hot, so I’ll swerve it for the novice handicap hurdle (2.15), where Old Brigade can play up our winnings (we had 12-1 when he won at Ludlow) before he goes up the handicap. Beginners again at Kelso, where I’m laying Naiad Du Misselot (1.50): I was far from impressed with his jumping on the debut and, having got outpaced, he stayed on well under conservative handling. The drop of four furlongs in trip has to be a negative as it puts his jumping under more pressure. Palomar was far speedier over hurdles, is reported in great form and has schooled professionally. He was always going to be a chaser and I reckon he can crack the Murphy horse at his fences. I’m also laying Party Frock (8.20 Wolverhampton). She doesn’t find much for pressure, and her work at home is hardly encouraging; she has looked woefully one paced in recent starts at Lingfield, and a faster-riding ‘Wolver’ won’t help.
TODAY'S BETS
LAY to win 10pts NAIAD DU MISSELOT, and 5pts win PALOMAR (1.50 Kelso) BANKER 10pts win MAD MAX (12.55 Ascot) BET 6pts win FISTRAL BEACH (1.05 Exeter) BET 2pts win and place SECRET TUNE, 2pt saver SHOREACRES (2.05 Ascot) BET 6pts win OLD BRIGADE (2.15 Exeter) BET 6pts win KEW JUMPER (2.40 Ascot) LAY to win 10pts PARTY FROCK (8.20 Wolverhampton) DAQ MULTIPLES: Fistral Beach, Mad Max and Old Brigade in three 1pt win doubles and a treble.
	Try a BETDAQ Multiple today and enjoy better value odds. New to Multiples? Click to Learn More

Alan McInally's Weekend Preview

My Sky Sports duties mean that I travel to Reading on Saturday for the visit of once formidable Southampton and rather unusually my three for the weekend includes this Championship clash.  I have been lucky enough to see Steve Coppell's side twice already this season and am in no doubt whatsoever that they are the cream of the crop in this topsy turvy division.  The saints will be on the back foot for the entire ninety minutes against Reading's high powered offense and their inexperienced defenders will be unlikely to cope.  Make The Royals the cornerstone of all your trades on the "Daq" this weekend at around 4/9.

Mark Hughes has been copping some serious flak over the last few weeks and to my mind any criticism of the Manchester City manager is wholly unwarranted. His side are still adjusting to the upheaval at Eastlands and on their day are more than capable of producing football of the highest quality.  The arrival of Arsenal should be enough for City to show their best stuff and in light of the Gunners volatile form it's time to get our laying boots on.  Something just isn't right with Arsene Wenger's side and and the poorly chosen comments fron William Gallas this week only add to the discontent that is so evident at The Emirates.  Lay Arsenal all day long at around 2.24 on the "Daq".

My final bargain is a straight back of Portsmouth who host a Hull side who have been a revelation up to now.  Phil Brown's side have won four away from home and only Chelsea have scored more on their travels but I get a sense that things will be tougher from now on.  Pompey meanwhile have settled down since the departure of Harry Redknapp and have taken four points from the last six.  Tony Adams clearly commands the respect of all at the club and traditionally it has been solid home form that has gotten the job done for Portsmouth.  Hull will have their supporters at 5.1 but the better play is on the home side at Betdaq's current 1.87.

DAQMAN on Thursday

Thursday 20 November COOL DAQMAN: After tipping the six-lengths Twiston-Davies winner Sexy Rexy (won 10-3) yesterday, Daqman has a ‘cool’ bet from the same stable at Hereford and another 'cool' start to the afternoon. But it’s a hot Daqman day of two bankers and two lays, including a bismarck on a Paul Nicholls runner at his local track, Wincanton. The bankers stretch from 12.35 with a lunchtime tilt at Thurles and finish at 7.50 at Great Leighs with a likely AW gamble tonight. In between is the usual Daqman mix of logic and information for the five meetings. He’s had 77 winning bets in November already.   In the days of dross between weekends, there are nuggets to be found which may be goldmines for the future: I’ve said it before in this column, if in doubt try to dig out the quality horses. The two we’ve found so far this week have been Kalahari King, with pretensions for Cheltenham, and Spring Dream, who now takes rank for the top mares’ races. Today, add Cooldine. Willie Mullins, currently with a 57% win-and-place strike-rate, has not surprisingly chosen Thurles for the chase debut of a horse with three wins from three runs there. Cooldine (12.35), though a grade-1 hurdler, has always been regarded as a jumper of the big fences; the injured Ruby Walsh, who would have missed Paul Nicholls’ Wincanton runners for this, can only look on from the sidelines as Paul Townsend tries to make this an exhibition round for the well-schooled Cooldine against beginners with limited prospects. You’d expect Jessica Harrington to beg to differ as her Quartino was expected to be Cooldine’s main threat; but the market says not: modest moves for The Spoonplayer and Quartino’s stablemate, Helvic Head, have pushed him out to 10-1 or so, as I write. Meanwhile, Paul Nicholls also appears to have a ‘good thing’ in Definity (1.30 Wincanton), and there’s the same market reaction: all have slid into double figures bar Orion D’Oudaires, the only other to get a good ‘school report’ from his trainer: disappointing last term but has improved in the hols. However, my man in the long grass has been putting the slide-rule on One Cool Knight, and reckons this is the one to take out of the race: ‘watch the Hobbs’ horse; this is useful but not fully wound up and will be a winner in waiting after today.’ I will also be interested in the performance of Master Cobbler: Joe Tizzard, local to Wincanton, and therefore a man who knows every blade of grass on this track, has been entrusted with the hurdles education of the Goodwood Stakes third. I think we can assume that this one is not much fancied by the 102.0 offer I saw on my Betdaq screen. However, when they compare that with the 20-1 and 33-1 of the bookmakers’ early market, one or two hopeful punters are sure to take a bit. Go on, have a pound each way! On a serious note – speaking from the wallet, that is – I am surprised to see Lamanver Homerun (2.00) a short-priced favourite for the without-Walsh Nicholls team. She is clearly not a stable star. When a trainer describes one in his stable tour as a ‘fun horse’ and limits his comments to 10 words, and when several of his young chasers have been getting turned over, there is one word only required: lay. ’Homerun’ hasn’t jumped a twig in public, whereas Katess was an eight lengths and 40 lengths winner at Fontwell and Don McCain’s Romping Home looks worth the trip South on the evidence of a sound second only eight days ago. Joe ‘Lively’ Tizzard can return Rudivale (2.30) to the Wincanton winners’ enclosure after an unsuccessful foray over further in better company at Aintree. Oiseau De Nuit (3.30), the aptly named Evening World gelding, is due to go up 5lb and, in addition, has the 7lb allowance – he makes every pound count – of the impressive claimer, Rhys Flint. But another little bird tells me of the schooling prowess of Jigsaw Dancer from a yard that’s been fitting the pieces together perfectly of late. This morning I could get 5.7 Jigsaw Dancer with an even-money saver the ‘Nuit.’ For me, the best race of the day, if they all stand up, is the beginners’ chase at Market Rasen but I’m going to oppose the favourite, Nine De Sivola (1.40), over a mile too short for him on a fast, turning track. Forever the bridesmaid – six seconds since he last won nearly two years ago – he was beaten for speed by Companero at Carlisle (3m) and that was further than today. Coe is the obvious alternative: Tony McCoy dropped his whip on this one when I put it up last time out and he (Coe, that is) has been impressive in his schooling since. Again, the snag is that I am getting irresistible vibes from the Howard Johnson camp which collected four winners at Hexham yesterday, including Companero again. What is inviting about Companero’s stablemate Bay Cherry (apart from the 5.7 on Betdaq as I write) is that he is a ‘going sort’ who likes to be up with the pace, and Market Rasen’s right-wheel roundabout looks ideal; Coe as the saver. As for the rest of Rasen, it’s a case of  ‘look out, Charlie Mann’s about.’  At any meeting at the Lincoln venue, Mann – with a strike rate of more than 20% in all departments – is a trainer to fear but, right now, Mann is mustard with 12 horses place (six winners) from his last 19 runners. They’ve already made ex-French Quentin d’Ex (2.40) an even-money trade on Betdaq and I’ll put him in my Daq Multiples but Borero (2.10) attracts me more as an individual win-and-place bet at 5.7 this morning. With Ballyvogue paying the penalty for his sole win in two years, Orki Des Aigles needing further, and stablemate Glacial Delight best on fast ground, Borero, though pitched straight into a handicap chase from English hurdles, has a chance to show his Auteuil fencing ability (third in a Listed chase). Paddy Brennan has two fine chances at Hereford: The Cool Guy (2.20) is reported back to form at home after a long lay-off and Ring Bo Ree (3.20) has to redeem his last fence Ludlow fall (would have ‘nearly’ won) before he goes up 15lb from Saturday. I’ll bet one of them wins. At Great Leighs tonight, Bullet Man (7.50) suffered a nasty setback after showing promise last backend but, having slowly been nursed back, has been showing enough to get within a couple of lengths of 105-rated Swop and one-time Melbourne Cup runner-up Purple Moon in recent work. The three have been working well together for the past two weeks. He is second favourite here behind a horse – another coming back from an absence - whose work companion in recent gallops was turned over at Kempton last night. Bullet Man is already penciled in by my man as a Bankable bet for Cumani next season.
TODAY'S BETS
BANKER 10pts win COOLDINE (12.35 Thurles) BET 8pts win DEFINITY (1.30 Wincanton) LAY to win 10pts NINE DE SIVOLA, plus 3pts win BAY CHERRY and 3pts saver COE (1.40 Market Rasen) LAY to win 10pts LAMANVER HOMERUN (2.00 Wincanton) BET 3pts win and place BORERO (2.10 Market Rasen) BET 4pts win THE COOL GUY (2.20), if lose 8pts win RING BO REE (3.20), both at Hereford. BET 5pts win RUDIVALE (2.30 Wincanton) BET 3pts win on each JIGSAW DANCER and OISEAU DE NUIT (3.30 Wincanton) BANKER 10pts win BULLET MAN (7.50 Great Leighs) DAQ MULTIPLES: Bullet Man, Cooldine, Definity, Rudivale and Quentin d’Ex (2.40 Market Rasen), charged to the account as 1pt win doubles.
	Try a BETDAQ Multiple today and enjoy better value odds. New to Multiples? Click to Learn More

DAQMAN on Wednesday

Wednesday 19 November DAQMAN spots some hot claiming jockeys going through their paces today, and that’s a clue to the feature race at Hexham. He’s found a Cheltenham prospect at Warwick, entrusted to another boy rider on the hurdles debut. At Lingfield, a jockey showing 110 profits to a level stake is riding a 12.0 Betdaq trade. At Warwick and at Kempton tonight, Daqman has two top bets which are exchanging at such good odds on Betdaq that he makes them each-way bankers.  Before the current battle between English and Irish stables, there was a North-South divide in racing which got a lot of ballyhoo from the Press. The North always had strong contenders for Classics and gold cups through Sam Hall and Bill Elsey on the Flat, Ken Oliver and Gordon W Richards over the sticks: even the leading jockey was crowned in the Press as the Cock O’The North; the likes of Edward Hide on the Flat, Ron Barry over jumps. Today the North’s leading jumps duo numerically, Brian Hughes (on 26 winners) and Denis O’Regan (25), do battle at Hexham, on a card which also has Graham Lee – the track’s leading rider – Richard McGrath and the rising star Davy Condon. The biggest purse on offer has O’Regan, Lee, McGrath and Condon all taking part, though they may miss out to a young man called Mania. The papers are wondering why Companero (2.10) is switched back from fences to hurdles but I can tell them that Howard Johnson is protecting the eight-year-old’s handicap mark as they think he has a big chase in him this season after his Carlisle defeat of Scottish and Irish Nationals runner-up, Nine De Sivola. Scarvagh Diamond, on the other hand, is back over hurdles because he has made a hash of his last two chases, blundering one away and falling when seemingly about to win the next. It’s Denis O’Regan v Davy Condon then: or is it? Twelve Paces has a dangerous light weight on the heavy ground and, unexposed at the trip, gives a 7lb claimer a chance of the headlines, and how the Press will love it if Ryan Mania reaches the front rank. Ryan has already beaten his first year’s total of winners – mostly for the Monteith stable – with Kelso and Cartmel his best tracks - but he has been down as far as Fakenham for a couple of wins (33% strike rate) including defeat on Silvo of my selection, Beau Torero, yesterday (he gets no more headlines from me, then). It was a good ride, but the huge weight gap between them made all the difference, exactly what there is again today. Twelve Paces needed some kidology at times from Master Mania at Kelso but eventually ran away from a big field in the class-3 race by 11 lengths. He gets 32lb all told today and I think will dislodge Companero as favourite: I’m backing Twelve Paces now and Companero later. If there isn’t enough margin to dutch, I’ll just do Companero as a saver for my win stake on Twelve Paces. At Warwick, another claimer, Jack Doyle, is entrusted with a potential Cheltenham horse in Jokers Legacy (1.50) in his first hurdle race after some impressive bumper victories for Victor Dartnall. ’Legacy’ has been schooling professionally and encouragingly at home. He has been readied fit for this and comes here in excellent form. The Nicholls horse is interesting on his hurdling debut but Jokers Legacy looks to have the class of a Ballymore or Spa Hurdle type. Chapoturgeon (2.20) had the race at his mercy when falling last time at Exeter and work has been done to get him to brush up on his jumping. He will be held onto longer to get a good view of his fences but has been very sharp over them at home and connections are bullish. Paul Nicholls has won the race four times in seven years and five of the last six favourites have won. Alan King’s Araldur has it all to do with the maximum penalty and I prefer the chances of yesterday’s hat-trick winning stable with Enfant De Lune (12.50) in a race which usually goes to a four-year-old from the Flat: this one was much better class on the level in France than his rivals would expect to meet here. Don’t be put off by the form figures of Sexy Rexy (2.50): she has been running over a trip too far and a mark of 98 now has her extremely well handicapped back to a distance that is ideal. George Baker, the punter’s pal on AW at Lingfield with 110 points profit to a level stake in five seasons, is on another outsider today for the man he rides most winners for, Gary Moore. Wine ‘N Dine (1.00) runs in a race Moore has won twice in the last four years: 12.0 on Betdaq as I write. I follow the official ratings in claimers (2.00), and that means it’s Rio Royale first and Woolston Ferry second. The step up to 7f saw big improvement from ‘Ferry’ when he collected in fine style last week and he’s going very well at home but I can get nearly 5-1 on Betdaq for an each-way bet on Rio Royale for the in-form Amana Perrett and Jim Crowley team so I’ll back both. Perrett-Crowley have an interesting runner in Dialect at Kempton tonight but my man in the long grass tells me that Three Ducks (7.20) has improved lately in her work at HQ and had earlier done nicely alongside proven Listed filly Splashdown. Another improver on the gallops is Red Alert Day (7.50), working at home with a useful type in Aeroplane and expected to go to Dubai in the New Year. Does a lot of work on the Cambridge Road Polytrack, so should feel at home on tonight’s surface.
TODAY'S BETS
BET 3pts win ENFANT DE LUNE (12.50 Warwick) BET 1pt win and place WINE ‘N DINE (1.00 Lingfield) BET 6pts win JOKERS LEGACY (1.50 Warwick) BET 5pts win WOOLSTON FERRY, 1pt win and place RIO ROYALE (2.00 Lingfield) BET 4pts win TWELVE PACES and 2pts saver COMPANERO (2.10 Hexham) BET 8pts win CHAPOTURGEON (2.20 Warwick) EACH-WAY BANKER 5pts win and place SEXY REXY (2.50 Warwick) BET 4pts win THREE DUCKS (7.20 Kempton) EACH-WAY BANKER 5pts win and place RED ALERT DAY (7.50 Kempton)
	Try a BETDAQ Multiple today and enjoy better value odds. New to Multiples? Click to Learn More

DAQMAN on Tuesday

Tuesday 18 November DAQMAN’S KING: Daqman landed his banker with the impressive Kalahari King (won 11-8) yesterday, and now has 24 winning bets in the last eight days, 13 of them since Saturday. Though he reckons today is a day for Daq Multiples, he still finds trades that are ‘too big’ at 12.0 and 8.2, and spots another first timer in a handicap from the stable that pulled off that trick last week at 12-1. Which horse is back in blinkers after a run without them? Which mare is back to her winning distance after a trip too far? Read all about it with the headline-making tipster, Daqman, who is on his last century sequence as he aims for 1,000 winning bets in little more than a year.   They all gasped when 11-year-olds Caracciola won the Cesarewitch and Hardy Eustace the Maplewood, and they still raise their eyebrows if you tell them that eight of the last 20 Grand National winners were aged 11 and 12. So don’t entirely write off old favourites like Monkerhostin and Copsale Lad – both aged 11 -  in their respective races this coming weekend. It all depends on whether the occasion and the conditions are right to bring out the old warrior in them. The older they get the better they are known to their trainers and Ben Pollock has no doubt what to do to squeeze another bonus from Beau Torero, who reaches 11 in just over seven weeks’ time: take him to the track he loves. Beau Torero (1.30) has been racing for eight years, one month and 16 days and his visits to Fakenham are recorded as 1P211, with his wins all on ground no worse than good to soft, as it is there today. Second in this race in 2006 – beaten a neck - he won it first time back last year when it was converted to one for conditional jockeys. He’s actually a pound lower than in 2007, with Alex Merriam’s 3lb further reducing his weight. No Greater Love and Silvergino are winners last time out and look formidable opponents but, at this level, back-to-back wins are rare unless by an improver at short odds who is leaving that grade of race behind. Both are penalized yet Beau Torero is the biggest Betdaq trade of the three as I write. James Fanshawe is four out of five with his hurdlers at Fakenham in the last four seasons, and recent Flat winner Long Distance (2.00) was a massive price, trading 12.0 this morning; a little each-way could go a long way. The novice chase is a cracker, class-3 at that. It’s one to watch for future reference and I’ll skip to Topjeu (3.30): just last week we spotted a ‘three-runs-and-into-a-handicap’ trained by Jonjo (Old Brigade won at 12-1) and the trainer won this race last year. At Folkestone, Woolfall Treasure (12.40) and Medermit (1.10) are obvious candidates for your Daq Multiples but the next three races are all class-3; again I’m leaping over the novices and taking Spring Dream (2.10) to complete a double for the King team. Spring Dream won well last time on the Flat and the softer the ground the better. Connections feel she could become a leading filly in the mares’ department this season now that they have ‘sussed’ her out: she needs to be produced late (Betdaq layers in running, be warned). Two more veterans, 11-year-old General Alarm and 10-year-old Chopneyev (2.40) will make them all go in the feature handicap chase, as front-runners who go well when fresh. With that style of racing, I wouldn’t expect them to give four or five years away to the unexposed Alfred’s Tower and Porters War, from the Nichols and King emporiums. But easily the best trade in the race this morning was Nation State at 8.2 on Betdaq, a fair margin in front of the bookmakers’ early prices. This Cheltenham winner ran over too short a trip without the blinkers first time back; they’re on again now. At Southwell, we take a massive drop down to class-6 into the Cut And Thrust (1.50): the gelding of that name should be hard to beat over this trip having just failed to see out 7f last time. He continues to work much better than his rating and, after promising gallops at home, must be a decent bet, as we know he handles the track. Crystal Crown (2.50) comes over from Ireland, and has Jamie Spencer booked, for his first handicap: the opposition doesn’t look too threatening for a horse – since gelded – who has shown ability against Group-3 performers. Ice Bellini (3.50) is strongly fancied; having failed to get home last time over further, she will be hard to beat back over the course and distance of her last win. She has been impressing on the gallops and the yard feel she is still ahead of the handicapper.
TODAY'S BETS
BET 6pts win BEAU TORERO (1.30 Fakenham) BET 8pts win CUT AND THRUST (1.50 Southwell) BET 1pt win and place LONG DISTANCE (2.00 Fakenham) BET 4pts win SPRING DREAM  (2.10 Southwell) BET 2pts win and place NATION STATE (2.40 Folkestone) BET 6pts win CRYSTAL CROWN (2.50 Southwell) BET 3pts win and place TOPJEU (3.30 Fakenham) BET 3pts win and place ICE BELLINI (3.50 Southwell) DAQ MULTIPLES: Beau Torero, Crystal Crown and Cut And Thrust, with Medermit (1.10) and Woolfall Treasure (12.40), both at Folkestone, charged to the account as 1pt win doubles.
	Try a BETDAQ Multiple today and enjoy better value odds. New to Multiples? Click to Learn More

DAQMAN on Monday

Monday 17 November DAQMAN PUNCH: Daqman landed both big hurdle winners among his bets at Cheltenham yesterday – Punchestowns (won 7-1) and Numide (won 5-1) – following Imperial Commander (won 13-2) on Saturday to complete another weekend of big winners. His seven winning Sunday bets steps up his strike rate to three a day with 66 needed before the end of the year to complete 1,000 wins. Both his lays were successful on Sunday: he bismarcked Sizing Europe (2nd 7-4) in Ireland’s big race and opposed a Paul Nicholls’ morning favourite, Super Formen (0, 11-2), in one of the feature events at Cheltenham. There’s another daring Daqman lay today, as he pits his wits against J. P. McManus and Tony McCoy: his lays target is 200 (38 needed).   Looking for a false favourite to lay? Try this one for size: has never won a race; pulled up last time he encountered the fast ground he gets today; below par on latest run; has stumbled in one race, finished lame in another; top trainer struggling with two wins from last 34 runners. So what makes him favourite? A.P. McCoy rides for J. P. McManus, and it’s a bad race; as a Class-4, it ought to be a bit better but, in any case – remember my regular warning – you can’t rely on the form below Class-3. The negatives may mount up but are there any positives in opposition to Pop Ahead (1.20) at Leicester this afternoon? Well, Natoumba likes firmish ground, has won over three miles, and has the power of Richard Johnson in the driver’s seat. He stayed on up the hill over a furlong shorter at Towcester last time out, beating three others in today’s field, including three-time winner, Jacarado, who boosted the form with success 11 days later and runs again here; it could be close between them now. I think the case for the lay is made and I would be confident if these were reliably good or bad horses. There are better races on the card and I know one professional who is going to lay two of the three market leaders in the featured Golden Miller Hurdle (2.50). You see, Pagano and Approved Force are both returning after injury. Approved Force tore a shoulder muscle and Pagano smashed through a post-and-rail fence: on the trainer’s own admission in today ‘s Racing Post, Pagano is high in the handicap and, anyway, is going chasing after this. Andy Turnell warns us that Haar is better than the bare form – he blames the boy rider for a bad run last time out – and Widely Accepted did well at Wincanton on his first run back after a breathing op. I’ll dutch this pair (at around 6-1 each on Betdaq this morning). Kalahari King (2.20) is the day’s banker with an unusual ‘form’ angle - as the one Ferdy Murphy talked most about in his stable tour! - and Graham Lee calls the horse ‘a machine.’ Murphy? He says: “Kalahari King has a high cruising speed; is a fantastic jumper; and there is no doubt that he is good enough for the Arkle.” You have been warned. Get on early, or you can expect to have to buy money later. Jim Crowley deserves more credit than his joint third (2007-8) in the AW riders’ league suggests, since he won most of his races at Kempton, where competition is fiercest; today top-man Chris Catlin (most winners this year at Southwell) has the day off, while runner-up Kirsty Milczarek (Lingfield) and joint-third Tom Queally (Wolverhampton) are both at Wolverhampton. The likes of Michael Hills, Hayley Turner and George Baker make every race a tough one at Kempton, and Crowley’s sole ride for Amanda Perrett looks best: Supernoverre (1.40) is at long last dropped in grade and his maiden efforts make him clear top on official ratings in the Try Betdaq For An Exchange claimer. He’s got a good draw as well. Crowley’s mount, Royal Straight, also drawn 13, would be an appropriate winner of the Betdaq Poker handicap but his form suggests that he, too, should be running in the claimer! In the Betdaq maiden, Paul Cole makes few mistakes here with his two-year-old debutants, and Sicilian Warrior (3.10) is US bred for AW racing. Meanwhile, Milczarek and Queally face Jamie Spencer, Neil Callan and Darryl Holland – in one of his best years – at Wolverhampton. ’Spenny’ does a double stint in the opening races but note that he waits around in his riding boots for one only later mount, Dart (4.30), who eponymously took the legs off them at Southwell last time and is still well handicapped, despite a penalty for that. Trainer James Fanshaw has a 50% strike rate in handicaps on the course.
TODAY'S BETS
LAY to win 10pts POP AHEAD (1.20 Leicester) BET 6pts win SUPERNOVERRE (1.40 Kempton) BANKER 10pts win KALAHARI KING (2.20 Leicester) DUTCH to win 12 points HAAR and WIDELY ACCEPTED (2.50 Leicester) BET 4pts win SICILIAN WARRIOR (3.10 Kempton) BET 6pts win DART (4.30 Wolverhampton) DAQ MULTIPLES: Dart, Kalahari King, Sicilian Warrior and Supernoverre, charged to the account as 1pt win doubles.
	Try a BETDAQ Multiple today and enjoy better value odds. New to Multiples? Click to Learn More

DAQMAN on Sunday

Sunday 16 November DAQMAN today goes for a big-race double with a 19.5 trade on Betdaq in the Greatwood following Imperial Commander (won 13-2) in Cheltenham’s main feature yesterday. It’s Betdaq value all through the final-day card, with 8.6 in what Daqman believes is a two-horse race in the opener, and 14.0 and 21.0 in the long-distance hurdle, in which he has found 30 reasons why Paul Nicholls won’t win it. Perhaps his best value bet is a Tony McCoy mount at 8.4 in an eight-horse hurdle. He opens his column with a banker and a lay in the same race. So it’s a double-whammy day.  The markets, the magic of Paul Nicholls, and ‘hot’ information: all had one thing in common yesterday on a merciless Cheltenham track that took no prisoners. They counted for nothing on the sticky ground. I was told to expect two gambles: one didn’t materialize (Fleet Street pulled up early) and the one that did, Qanta De Thaix, delivered a similar result (last of 17 finishers). Let’s try public information instead: trainer Henry De Bromhead says openly of the big race at Punchestown today that connections are looking to Sizing Europe for only ‘a promising run we can build on’ after injury. If that’s the case, with the young pretender, Jered (2.15 Punchestown), fit as a flea, I’ll jump in for a Noel Meade treble in the Maplewood and lay Sizing Europe; ‘double whammy’. Sizing Europe won the Greatwood last year and countryman Silver Jaro has an each-way chance in the same race at Cheltenham today, as the County Hurdle winner with a recent Flat run under his belt. Rooster Booster did the same Cheltenham double in 2002. Nicky Henderson is on a big handicap-hurdle treble with Aigle dOr following Sentry Duty and Chomba Womba recently. French Derby fifth Numide likes it soft, has won over further and, though he has so far failed to graduate from Group (Flat) to Grade (jumps), has a featherweight here. Squadron beat Hot Diamond on the course in April but ‘Diamond’ has been a glass bead, with four thirds and three seconds. Rippling Ring is one of the few Ditcheat talking horses to have disappointed so far but blinkers have made a definite difference at home, according to the trainer. Paul Nolan is two out of three in handicap hurdles at Cheltenham in four years of careful planning, and Mudslinger, with Alain Cawley claiming 5lb, has improved this autumn on good ground; he’s a full brother to Champion Chase winner Newmill, who acted in all conditions. 1.10 Cheltenham I’m not a Straw Bear fan; I think he’s a bit soft, certainly when it comes to a tough track like this; I would back him only on a flat course. The race is a matter of whether the stayer Crescent Island can lie up and attack Arkle favourite Tatenen or whether he’ll be run off his feet. There’s no Ruby Walsh to create a Tatenen attack and, with Twiston-Davies so bullish about Crescent Island, the market makes no sense: 1.65 Tatenen and 8.6 Crescent Island. I’ll take that 8.6 believing that I can get an even-money trade Tatenen to cover my stake. I’ll also put Tatenen in my Daq Multiples and hope I haven’t tied myself in knots and get the best of both worlds. 1.45 Cheltenham Again Nicholls is up against it, with speculative blinkers on Predateur; trainers of yesterday’s big two, Imperial Commander and Joe Lively, saddle Tramantano and Sou’Wester. But Moon Over Miami so loves soft ground and Cheltenham that he must go in the Multiples. 2.20 Cheltenham Silver Jaro (19.5) was excellent value each-way on Betdaq this morning. Aigle d’Or and Numide will be hard to beat. 2.55 Cheltenham Horses aged five and six usually win this with 11st or less (all bar two in 10 years): 30 four-year-olds have run this century without winning (two placed), including a recent beaten favourite, so the stats are very much against Super Formen who, in any case, has a poor strike rate. Of the others among the favourites, Ballydub, bred like a Trojan – by Presenting out of a Supreme Leader mare- will go chasing shortly, as will Punchestowns, and Leg Spinner won’t like the ground. The ones I fancy are Arctic Magic and Pocket Aces, an easy winner over this trip at Kempton in the Spring; he’s had a run back and Timmy Murphy is booked. Arctic Magic has been well primed for this and Nick Scholfield booked for a bottom-of-the-handicap coup. I could get 14.0 and 21.0 on Betdaq trades about my two. I would worry only about Punchestowns at the front of the market; lay Super Formen. 3.30 Cheltenham We really know very little here, except that Hell’s Bay is the Nicholls’ selected and that Diamond Harry is highly regarded but has yet to try this longer trip. It’s one for the future. But, at 8.4 on Betdaq, the value in an eight-runner race is surely Door Boy, Howard Johnson’s big buy, with Tony McCoy up. 4.00 Cheltenham We know even less here, with a field of unknown quantities, but the Betdaq market this morning suggested that it was a match between Express Leader and Lindeman.
TODAY'S BETS
BET 3pts win CRESCENT ISLAND, 3pt saver TATENEN (1.10 Cheltenham) BET 4pts win MOON OVER MIAMI (1.45 Cheltenham) LAY to win 10pts SIZING EUROPE and BANKER 10pts win JERED (2.15 Punchestown) BET 1pt win and place on each NUMIDE and SILVER JARO (2.20 Cheltenham) LAY to win 10pts SUPER FORMEN; BET 1pt win and place on each ARCTIC MAGIC, POCKET ACES and PUNCHESTOWNS (2.55 Cheltenham) BET 2pts win and place DOOR BOY (3.30 Cheltenham) DAQ MULTIPLES: Door Boy, Jered, Moon Over Miami and Tatenen, charged to the account as 1pt win doubles.
	Try a BETDAQ Multiple today and enjoy better value odds. New to Multiples? Click to Learn More

DAQMAN on Saturday

Saturday 15 November GOOD SHOW: when the racing is good, Daqman is good. He got two great winners on the first day of the Cheltenham Open meeting and might have landed his banker but Herecomesthetruth tried to ‘do a Davy Russell’ by taking a short cut (in this case, round the fence) when having every chance at the last. He was also out of luck last night when Pezula Bay (2nd 16-1) missed the break and came through just too late at Kempton Park. His Cheltenham Open first-day winners were Hoopy (won 15-2) and Andytown (won 11-4). Daqman today found big Betdaq value in two handicaps at Cheltenham, and a huge gamble early doors in the getting-out stakes there.  Read all about it! It may as well be screamed across the tabloid headlines: Fleet Street for today’s gold cup. All the best judges seemed to know this morning.  And, if the story is right, Betdaq backers alone had a scoop. As I write, most bookmakers were going 16-1 and 18-1, with four or five at 20-1, but there was plenty of 24.0 and 23.0 on Betdaq. And I hope there’s some left for you. If Silverburn was with any other stable, you would discount him on form and your short-list would be a group within a couple of pounds of each other: Maljimar, Imperial Commander, Fleet Street, Bible Lord. But Silverburn is with Paul Nicholls who has produced his secret weapon almost monotonously in the early weeks of the winter season: it’s simple; he helps them breathe. Cornish Sett, Nevada Royale, Noland, Oumeyade, Poquelin and Take The Breeze have all come back different horses since having the breathing ‘op’ and yer man says the same of Silverburn. This is not Nicholls’ race (second three times and two fallers) and Silverburn is not normally at his best when fresh but, while he is no value, I cannot discount him. Nicky Henderson’s Barbers’ Shop, second in the Jewson, looks the stable number one, but Fleet Street –taking a return novice chase route at his age - was only a few yards behind him that day in only his second race over today’s trip. The word is that he has improved significantly over the summer, his schooling has seriously improved and he is now known to have the stamina to take issue with the best up the final hill. Bible Lord is well handicapped with the likes of Ouzbeck and Yes Sir, but I doubt his jumping ability to win a race like this. Maljimar isn’t always guaranteed to produce his best but Cheltenham is his favourite course. Imperial Commander (9.6 on Betdaq) is another who goes well fresh, from a yard remaining in top gear: he has won all his races at Cheltenham on the bridle and is still unexposed. Don’t Push It, a Pricewise horse, is not much fancied by Tony McCoy in his Telegraph racing column - he says ‘a place at best’ – and the stable is considered out of form. But what about Tony McCoy’s ride in the last race? What’s going on, Mr Pipe? Wait for it! 12.50 Cheltenham: In the same Telegraph column, McCoy tips Giorgio Quercus, although he has no ride in the race but Alan King, who goes for a hat-trick, hoping to follow Katchit and Franchoek with Saticon, has a line to likely Nicholls’ favourite, R De Rien Siviola, through his other runner, Tuanku.  1.25 Cheltenham: Big Fella Thanks’ reappearance chase was run in very slow time and he was unable to turn it into the stamina test he needs. The stiffer track should bring out the best in him. 2.00 Cheltenham: Grand National winner Comply Or Die usually needs a run or two back, and also needs the blinkers. Opera Mundi will love the soft ground and Halcon Genelardais will come into his own up the hill. Beat The Boys is out of the handicap but still better off with Joe Lively though he beat that one at Cheltenham in April. I am told not to take that late-season form too literally and Joe Lively is just that on the home gallops right now but that doesn’t allow for improvement in young horses: those aged five to eight have win this seven times out of 10, and for me Opera Mundi and Beat The Boys are the young bloods who will have their day here over the higher weights and one-paced stayers. 2.35 Cheltenham: The stats again say a young horse; aged six or seven with 10-13 to 11-3. Paul Nicholls has Silverburn placed just about right and Imperial Commander has done no wrong but Fleet Street’s re-entry onto the chasing scene has been matched by further physical improvement during the summer. 3.10 Cheltenham: It is rare for 3m-hurdle winners to carry weight on soft ground and this race is no exception: only two winners in the last decade have been saddled with more than 10st 4lb, none with 11st 3lb or more. You can make out a case for several of them, but I shall take a chance on Ardalan, from the Dix Villez stable of Paul Nolan. This one was very progressive over hurdles last term and you can ignore recent runs over too short and over fences. Again, I got a cracking bonus from Betdaq this morning: the bookies were going 11-1, 12-1, 16-1 best but I was able to help myself to 19.5. Fantastic each-way value. 3.45 Cheltenham: Though the morning forecast is 7-1 the field, the last five winners have been hot favourite, between 15-8 and 5-2. Sure enough, there was a flood of money for one early doors: Qanta De Thaix crashed from 9.8 to 3.95 on Betdaq. There’s no reason for it in the book, and Tony McCoy’s column says the four-year-old was ‘disappointing’ at Plumpton but that was on firm ground with an amateur on board, just the kind of Pipe-opener for a heavy ground winner on the Flat in the French Provinces. Busker Royal cannot be discounted but Salute Him has been showing all the right signs at home to suggest that he is well handicapped. At Wetherby, Highland National winner Laertes (2.55) drops down in trip but is a winner at this distance over the sticks and his hurdles form at Wetherby was 32313. He is 18lb lower over fences than over hurdles and has another 7lb taken off by an amateur rider. No more than 11-5 has been carried to victory in the Millionaire Maker hurdle (3.25) and ages five and six dominate (five in a row): Edas is fit from the Flat; the last time he saw a hurdle, he won eased down. Classy European Dream has the cheekpieces back on and the stable had a winner on the Flat recently. At 12.0 each on Betdaq this morning, I shall have a bit each way but the money has already come for Knockavilla as I write – five points clear in the market – and no wonder: he still looks well weighted. Kings Destiny (3.35 Great Leighs) should be given another chance; he didn’t run his race last time but continues to impress at home and connections are bullish. The yard expects to follow up with Ballet Dancer (4.05) and I shall back the Michael Jarvis pair is though one must win. Jack Dawkins (5.05) could really go places next season, having recovered from injury problems: Great Leighs can ride deep which is why I’m not I’m not going in too big on him but he’s potentially top class horse when he gets fast ground, and that class should see him through here.
TODAY'S BETS
BET 3pts win and place SATICON (12.50 Cheltenham) BET 6pts win BIG FELLA THANKS (1.25 Cheltenham) DUTCH to win 15 points OPERA MUNDI and BEAT THE BOYS (2.00 Cheltenham) BET 4pts win SILVERBURN, plus 2pts win and place on each IMPERIAL COMMANDER and FLEET STREET (2.35 Cheltenham) BET 2pts win and place LAERTES (2.55 Wetherby) BET 2pts win and place ARDALAN (3.10 Cheltenham) BET 5pts win KNOCKAVILLA, plus 1pt win and place on each EDAS and EUROPEAN DREAM (3.25 Wetherby) BET 4pts win KINGS DESTINY (3.35); if lose, 8pts win BALLET DANCER (4.05), both at Great Leighs. BET 5pts win QANTA DE THAIX, plus 2pts win and place SALUTE HIM (3.45 Cheltenham) BET 4pts win JACK DAWKINS (5.05 Great Leighs)
	Try a BETDAQ Multiple today and enjoy better value odds. New to Multiples? Click to Learn More