DAQMAN on FRIDAY

Friday 5 September It's a record for this column, and a rare feat in the history of  tipping horses. Betdaq’s racing correspondent, Daqman, has landed his ninth winning banker out of 10 through La Adelita (won 4-5) yesterday. The aces he has served have been Almiqdaad (won 2-1), Zuzu (won 10-11), War Native (won 2-5), Ethaara (won 5-4), Duke Of Marmalade (won 4-6), Rose Street (won 11-8), Riggins (won 13-8), Triple Aspect (won 11-10) and now La Adelita (won 4-5) French Riviera (8th 3-1 at Great Leighs) was yet another successful lay but Strawberry Moon won, leaving him on a score of 18 out of 23 in his current lays sequence. Now read on for Daqman’s expert analysis and gallops reports for three of today’s meetings. Seb Sanders’ injury makes less of a difference to the jockeys’ title race than has been claimed; Ryan Moore was well ahead anyway but, more significantly, the figures reveal that he is in overdrive for the championship while his rivals are content with cruising speed. To win it always needs that extra push and Moore has stepped up a gear from last year: he’s taking 14% more rides than Sanders and his strike rate is 19% compared to his 16% overall in 2007 when injury cost him a second trophy. Jamie Spencer and Richard Hughes are currently on that 16% strike at sub-title level; Sanders, who tied with Spencer last year, is down to a not-really-a-challenger 14%. Punters who complain of the dross this week might consider the jockeys – not just Moore and the title - for whom a good strike rate means hard cash and maintaining it on unreliable horses means hard work. Moore concentrates on Kempton and he won’t need me to tell him that his work is even harder tonight: at Wednesday night’s meeting there, just one winner emerged from stalls above six and Moore, from higher numbers, managed only a second and two thirds. There were early sharks at the layers’ bait for his mount, Adorn (7.20), in the Betdaq maiden for fillies and Spencer on Stylish Dream was unseated from the favourite’s chair. Dream Date, at 11.5 this morning, is the each-way bet in the race, having improved at home, working with The Magic Of Rio, since making late headway on the debut. Inflammable starts at a trip suggested by her breeding but, in the last week, Sir Mark Prescott has saddled four beaten two-year-olds under 2-1 (three of them ‘tissue’ odds-on). The stable has had only one winner from 15 runners in the last fortnight. Has the barrel run dry? On the gallops lately it’s the Godolphin string that’s really catching the eye and notably the juveniles. I can give you now continuing good reports of Derby hope Anmar (Dewhurst, Racing Post Trophy), an impressive winner of a fair maiden at Sandown, and one of only two debutant winners this season for the boys in blue. But place-only and down-the-field debut runs are sure to bring many of them along; take Zelloof in today’s Betdaq The Betting Exchange maiden. Sir Michael Stoute’s Custody (Ryan Moore) has been leading the better colts at home in recent weeks; Alwaary, for John Gosden, impressed in his work on the Limekilns; but experienced Zelloof (6.50) was ridden too positively last time and the winner has stepped up to Group 3. Stoute has had one-sixth of the number of runners at Kempton than the leading trainer, Richard Hannon, but his strike rate is double in some types of races and 60% better in most. I reckon each-way on Ascot Lime (9.20) under Moore should at least put you in with a shout. At Lingfield this afternoon, American Art (4.20) would give a boost to Ascot Lime – he was sixth to that one at Sandown - but he’s stepping up three furlongs on his only AW win and, like Dauberval, Rustle, Fool’s Wildcat and Navajo Joe, has a stallion index of 8.0 or less for a 10-furlong race. I’m swerving the Prescott runner, ignoring the Moore runner without Ryan, and worried that Tomintoul Flyer is exposed and that Legislation’s win was a one-off. That leaves me the likely improver, Sortita, with only three runs in her life and saddled by Michael Jarvis, who has a 25% record on the track. There was money for her this morning. It’s good to see Leslie Petch remembered at Catterick (3.30); he was one of the architects of Northern racing. Expect an improved run from Fongs Gazelle; after being dropped from class 2, has run in a boys’ race then a ladies’ race since and is now down in the handicap.
TODAY'S BETS
BET 2pts win and place FONGS GAZELLE (3.30 Catterick) BET 3pts win and place SORTITA (4.20 Lingfield) BET 5pts win ZELLOOF (6.50 Kempton) BET 4pts win ADORN and 1pt win and place DREAM DATE (7.20 Kempton) BET 3pts win and place ASCOT LIME (9.20 Kempton)
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