Betdaq Extra

West Brom v Wigan - Match of the DAQ 31 January

 
West Brom v Wigan
Premier League
KO 20:00, Tuesday, Sky Sports 2

HEAD-TO-HEAD
(Max last 10 only)
13 Nov 2010 Premier League Wigan 1-0 West Brom        
09 May 2009 Premier League West Brom 3-1 Wigan       
29 Nov 2008 Premier League Wigan 2-1 West Brom
15 Jan 2006 Premier League Wigan 0-1 West Brom          
10 Sep 2005 Premier League West Brom1-2 Wigan          
16 Mar 2004 Championship West Brom2-1 Wigan            
16 Sep 2003 Championship Wigan 1-0 West Brom            
02 Oct 2002 League Cup Wigan 3-1 West Brom  
24 Apr 1993 League One West Brom 5-1 Wigan 
17 Oct 1992 League One Wigan 1-0 West Brom
 
PREVIEW
There might not be many neutrals hitting the reminder button on their Sky remotes for the West Brom v Wigan game on Tuesday night, but those of us tuning in may want to have a few quid on the contest to spice up the interest.

The ‘W club’ will almost certainly have fewer members in the Premier League next season with Wigan in the bottom three alongside Wolves and West Ham. And, after six defeats in seven, West Brom seem determined to muscle their way into the relegation scrap too.

This after things had started so well for the Baggies. They reached the giddy heights of fourth in October following a 2-1 win against Fulham, but they have taken only 10 of the 42 points on offer since then.

Wigan have actually lost less matches (10) than Roberto Di Matteo’s men (12), but, as the Latics have proven, only four wins from 24 fixtures is the sort of return that puts you bang in trouble.

Roberto Martinez hasn’t done much business in the transfer window to strengthen a weak squad so the Spaniard will have to make do with the players that got him into this mess. You can hardly blame Dave Whelan for keeping a tight hold of the pursing strings after seeing his team’s marquee summer signing, Mauro Boselli, head to Genoa on loan after the £6 million Argentine netted just once in six months for the strugglers.

Di Matteo has brought in Carlos Vela from Arsenal for the rest of the campaign and the Mexico international could provide the injection Albion need. Certainly, he could light up this encounter, so fingers crossed he’s given his bow.

Wigan beat West Brom 1-0 at home in November. That was the third time in a row that the host has come out on top and the sides’ respective home and away form this term suggests a repeat. The Latics have just two wins on the road, while Baggies have secured five of their seven victories in front of their own fans. A straight-forward punt on West Brom at around 1.75 is the way to go.


RECOMMENDATION: (1-10 points)
Back West Brom to beat Wigan at around 1.75 on Betdaq: 5 points

PLACE THIS BET ON BETDAQ NOW  CLICK HERE

Sunday's Return: -4.00
 

MULTIMAN - Monday 31 January

WELCOME TO MULTIMAN

Monday 31 January

Hmmm. So much for the draw at Craven Cottage.

Our midweek treble kicks off with Racing Santander this evening.

We then take in two games on Tuesday..

MULTIMAN BET (click to enlarge):

5 point win treble

 
   
Yesterday: -5.00 (this month -13.65)

My brief is simple - to make multiple betting profitable for you and to highlight the great value that can be obtained on BETDAQ MULTIPLES compared to those bookie chappies.

If you haven't placed a BETDAQ MULTIPLE yet - it's dead easy - just think orange rather than purple. Log into your BETDAQ account - click the orange multiples tab and you can start building your perm. The good news is you can go cross sport (currently horse racing, football and rugby union) and are offered odds on the acca, doubles, trebles, Yankees etc).

For a more comprehensive guide to BETDAQ MULTIPLES help page is reproduced below - but it's time for the action to begin:

Each day I will provide my recommended bet - and a screen grab showing the prices at the time of writing - obviously the odds are subject to change.


Multiple Betting - BETDAQ HELP PAGE

BETDAQ was the first exchange to introduce MULTIPLE bets to exchange betting. You can view all markets that are multiple ‘enabled’ through a separate multiples portal. Click on the Multiples tab to access these markets.

A Multiple Bet is defined as individual bets which combine two or more selections in a single bet. The overall payout for a win (including the original stake) is equal to the stake multiplied by the product of the various odds.

To make the first choice in your Multiple simply go to the market and make a selection as if you were placing a single bet. There will only be 1 price box available for each selection. This selection will be added to the Multiples tab on the right side of your screen. It may be helpful to imagine this area as your shopping basket.

To add further selections to your Multiple, focus your mouse back on the main screen and select another bet of your choice, note you must leave the market you were in and enter any other market that is offering Multiple Bets. Only one  selection per event can be added to a Multiple bet. For example your first selection could be on a horse race and your second on a soccer match. As you add selections to your Multiple you will see your shopping list grow. BETDAQ can support up to 7 selections in any Multiple Bet.

In order to get a quote of available prices for your Multiple click on the "Get Bet Types" button on the right of your screen. This will allow you to choose from all the possible Muliples that can be made from your chosen selections.  For example if you have made three selections you will be offered the choice of 3 doubles and 1 treble. A full description of all the bets available can be found below.

Once you have chosen your Bet Type, you can enter your stake on the Bet Slip click "Place Bet". This will prompt a Bet Verification screen, verify all the details of your Multiple Bet are correct and click "Confirm Bet". This will open a Bet Receipt that you can keep for your personal records.

Multiple Bet Types Offered:

You can combine up to 7 selections in different events to make a Double, Treble, 4-fold,  5-Fold right up to a 7-fold. In making a selection, you are choosing to back that selection, please note it is not possible to lay a selection as part of a multiple bet. All selections must win for the multiple bet to be settled as a winner.

Commission payable is calculated at 5% of winnings per multiple bet for all customers.

You can combine up to 7 selections in different events to make a Double, Treble, 4-fold,  5-Fold right up to a 7-fold. In the event of one or more of your selections not taking part your bet will be regarded as having one less leg i.e. a treble becomes a double etc.

All selections in multiple bets including related contingencies are subject to BETDAQ rules. Full details can be found by clicking on the ABOUT US section of your account and by clicking on Terms & Conditions - The Company Rules.

For three or more selections, you can take all combinations to make a 'Trixie' (4 bets, 3 doubles and a treble), 'Yankee' (11 bets, 6 doubles, 4 trebles and a 4-fold) or 'Super Yankee' (26 bets, 10 doubles, 10 trebles, 5 4-folds and 1 5-fold). In these combinations each of the bets is settled separately.
 



SHAMROCK on Monday

Monday 31 January

SHAMROCK

ANTE-POST UPDATE: There is no racing in Ireland until Wednesday, so Shamrock reviews his ante-post bets.

SHAMROCK DAILY: On days like today, bets on Irish-breds or Irish-trained horses running in England will be found at the foot of the column.

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World Hurdle: This is serious business for me now, as I am in play with a workable position on Mourad (16.5), generally 10-1 now with bookmakers (9-1 in a place).

You could still get some Mourad overs at 14.0 this morning.

Big Buck’s now looks unbackable at odds on against Mourad and the ‘freak’, Grands Crus. I suspect some Press hyping of Grands Crus nearer the time and Big Buck’s could potentially ease.

I had hoped to work the race as a two-horse affair; now there are three, and it’s too soon to tinker with the short odds; we’ve got a long odds position, and we can wait and see.

There’s six weeks to go and, if for instance one of the front two came out, the Mourad bet would allow us to take the race by the scruff of the neck.

Aintree Grand National: I promised a National bet after the Thyestes - that race threw up the Liverpool heroes Hedgehunter and Numbersixvalverde in successive years (2004-5) – and The Midnight Club, second to Siegemaster on Friday at Gowran Park, became favourite on Betdaq (18.0 this morning) after the race.

Midnight Club’s trainer, Willie Mullins, then went on to hit five yesterday and turn over Big Zeb but, despite the master’s dominance, I can’t see an Aintree bet in Midnight Club at this stage.

The entries are not out until Wednesday and, since we’ve only just reached the end of January, I’m still trying to pot a long red before I get to the prominent colours.

The one I chose, expecting a good run in the old Great Yorkshire at Doncaster, was Killyglen, at 126.0 on Betdaq. After the headlines before the Doncaster race that never was – it was abandoned – Killyglen is down to 94.0 on the Daq, 66-1 generally with bookies but 50-1 in a place.

Cheltenham Gold Cup: Sadly my 17.0 bet on Lexus winner Pandorama (January 4th Shamrock column) - offers dipped to 14.5 - is unlikely to see action, so I have to think again. Let’s see if anything turns up from Sunday’s Hennessy at Leopardstown.

Epsom Derby: My long-range pot in this one, Apache, was put up by me at 50.0 on Betdaq (January 11th Shamrock column), was best offered at 39.0 soon after and this morning is 30.0. Lovely overs!
 
SHAMROCK’S BETS
NAP: Blackpool Billy (3.25 Ayr)
NEXT BEST: Scales (4.30 Ayr)
OUTSIDER: Teenage Idol (4.00 Ayr)
TODAY’S DAQ TRIO (three doubles and a treble): Coldwells (2.50 Ayr), Blackpool Billy (3.25 Ayr) and Scales (4.30 Ayr)

  
BACK SHAMROCK'S TIPS ON BETDAQ CLICK HERE

DAQMAN on Monday

Monday 31 January

DAQMAN

AT LAST SCOTLAND BEATS THE FROST: No racing in England or Ireland over jumps today but Ayr survived an inspection this morning.

DAQMAN’S PLAN: Daqman hopes to land a banker at the third attempt but plots to cover his stake in two other races.

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Who would have bet on Ayr! Racing in Scotland returns, with the more southerly Ludlow abandoned, as frost again cuts into fixtures, but at least all six over the sticks at Ayr are class 4, so you would expect some participants to run to form. Famous last words.

Initial snag is that, as we found at the weekend, a series of novice races – the first three on the card today – has us guessing: do you go along with the form established in the early weeks or bet on the potential of an unexposed horse at a better price?

It somehow sticks in my throat that a 10-year-old, Ballabriggs (1.45), can be winning novice hurdles. Great credit must be due to Don McCain for placing this horse, including the switch from chases last time. The horse has landed a hurdles rating of 140, the same as his chase rating, so wouldn’t be bottomweight in the Totesport Trophy!

The only other official rating in today’s field is 114 and the only horse backed against him, Yes Tom, hasn’t won a chase or a hurdle. Ballabriggs should be odds on then.

He is with some bookmakers but not on Betdaq: you could get better than evens this morning. My skills with short prices are not good and, if I’m to continue my bankers after Big Zeb’s defeat yesterday, I need a value bet of this kind to get me back in the game. Otherwise, I’ll stick to jackpot betting.

What I’ll try to do today is find some decent offers in the handicaps and back them to cover my banker stake. The obvious place to start is a 2m hurdle, which needs speed (so you can put a line through older horses) from a horse that runs with zest, cleverly placed down the handicap.

But the 4.00 race is hardly class 4, with seven maidens and as many cowards: the first two in the betting, Emerald Isle and Super Ally, have both shown their best in mud and the Ayr ground today is defined as ‘good, good to soft in places’.

Whaston (7.2 on Betdaq as I write) is my pick: unexposed yet never out of the frame and stabled with Pauline Robson, who has a 50% strike rate with hurdlers on this track.

In the first handicap chase of the afternoon, the same trainer’s Festival King (2.50) has been placed in a class-3 but that only goes to boost the chances of Schindlers Society, who beat both Coldwells and Festival King on good ground here a month ago.

Coldwells might have made a race of it, had he not blundered badly three out, but I could get 6.0 ‘Schindlers’ and 8.2 Coldwells, so I dutched to win that 20 points I need.

DAQMAN’S BETS
BANKER: 20pts win BALLABRIGGS (1.45 Ayr)
BET 4pts win SCHINDLERS SOCIETY and 2.7pts win COLDWELLS (2.50 Ayr)
BET 3.2pts win WHASTON (4.00 Ayr)

BACK DAQMAN'S TIPS ON BETDAQ CLICK HERE

VISIT DAQMAN'S LIBRARY FOR LATEST STATISTICS ON DAQMAN AND HIS UNIQUE BETTING GUIDE CLICK HERE

MULTIMAN - Sunday 30 January

WELCOME TO MULTIMAN

Sunday 30 January

We have a new treble bet today.

Man City and Arsenal are the obvious selections - and we'll add in a draw between Fulham and Arsenal.

MULTIMAN BET (click to enlarge):

5 point win treble

 
   
Yesterday: -5.00 (this month -8.65)

My brief is simple - to make multiple betting profitable for you and to highlight the great value that can be obtained on BETDAQ MULTIPLES compared to those bookie chappies.

If you haven't placed a BETDAQ MULTIPLE yet - it's dead easy - just think orange rather than purple. Log into your BETDAQ account - click the orange multiples tab and you can start building your perm. The good news is you can go cross sport (currently horse racing, football and rugby union) and are offered odds on the acca, doubles, trebles, Yankees etc).

For a more comprehensive guide to BETDAQ MULTIPLES help page is reproduced below - but it's time for the action to begin:

Each day I will provide my recommended bet - and a screen grab showing the prices at the time of writing - obviously the odds are subject to change.


Multiple Betting - BETDAQ HELP PAGE

BETDAQ was the first exchange to introduce MULTIPLE bets to exchange betting. You can view all markets that are multiple ‘enabled’ through a separate multiples portal. Click on the Multiples tab to access these markets.

A Multiple Bet is defined as individual bets which combine two or more selections in a single bet. The overall payout for a win (including the original stake) is equal to the stake multiplied by the product of the various odds.

To make the first choice in your Multiple simply go to the market and make a selection as if you were placing a single bet. There will only be 1 price box available for each selection. This selection will be added to the Multiples tab on the right side of your screen. It may be helpful to imagine this area as your shopping basket.

To add further selections to your Multiple, focus your mouse back on the main screen and select another bet of your choice, note you must leave the market you were in and enter any other market that is offering Multiple Bets. Only one  selection per event can be added to a Multiple bet. For example your first selection could be on a horse race and your second on a soccer match. As you add selections to your Multiple you will see your shopping list grow. BETDAQ can support up to 7 selections in any Multiple Bet.

In order to get a quote of available prices for your Multiple click on the "Get Bet Types" button on the right of your screen. This will allow you to choose from all the possible Muliples that can be made from your chosen selections.  For example if you have made three selections you will be offered the choice of 3 doubles and 1 treble. A full description of all the bets available can be found below.

Once you have chosen your Bet Type, you can enter your stake on the Bet Slip click "Place Bet". This will prompt a Bet Verification screen, verify all the details of your Multiple Bet are correct and click "Confirm Bet". This will open a Bet Receipt that you can keep for your personal records.

Multiple Bet Types Offered:

You can combine up to 7 selections in different events to make a Double, Treble, 4-fold,  5-Fold right up to a 7-fold. In making a selection, you are choosing to back that selection, please note it is not possible to lay a selection as part of a multiple bet. All selections must win for the multiple bet to be settled as a winner.

Commission payable is calculated at 5% of winnings per multiple bet for all customers.

You can combine up to 7 selections in different events to make a Double, Treble, 4-fold,  5-Fold right up to a 7-fold. In the event of one or more of your selections not taking part your bet will be regarded as having one less leg i.e. a treble becomes a double etc.

All selections in multiple bets including related contingencies are subject to BETDAQ rules. Full details can be found by clicking on the ABOUT US section of your account and by clicking on Terms & Conditions - The Company Rules.

For three or more selections, you can take all combinations to make a 'Trixie' (4 bets, 3 doubles and a treble), 'Yankee' (11 bets, 6 doubles, 4 trebles and a 4-fold) or 'Super Yankee' (26 bets, 10 doubles, 10 trebles, 5 4-folds and 1 5-fold). In these combinations each of the bets is settled separately.
 



Fulham v Tottenham - Match of the DAQ 30 January

 
Fulham v Tottenham
FA Cup
KO 16:30, ESPN

HEAD-TO-HEAD
(Max last 10 only)
01 Jan 2011 Premier League Tottenham Hotspur 1-0 Fulham      
16 Oct 2010 Premier League Fulham 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur      
24 Mar 2010 FA Cup Tottenham Hotspur 3-1 Fulham      
06 Mar 2010 FA Cup Fulham 0-0 Tottenham Hotspur      
26 Jan 2010 Premier League Tottenham Hotspur 2-0 Fulham      
26 Dec 2009 Premier League Fulham 0-0 Tottenham Hotspur     
26 Dec 2008 Premier League Tottenham Hotspur 0-0 Fulham     
15 Nov 2008 Premier League Fulham 2-1 Tottenham Hotspur     
26 Dec 2007 Premier League Tottenham Hotspur 5-1 Fulham     
01 Sep 2007 Premier League Fulham 3-3 Tottenham Hotspur
 
PREVIEW
Fulham and Spurs fans might want to clear their diaries for Saturday 19th February – the designated replay date for their FA Cup fourth round clash.

Betdaq’s very own Alan McInally is expecting a draw and I’m certainly not going to disagree with the big man here. Despite having completed the double over Mark Hughes’ men already, I’d be happy to lay Spurs as favourites at around 2.45 and backing the stalemate is an even more appealing prospect at somewhere close to the 3.45-mark.

The visitors are having a bit of a wobble at the moment. They are winless in their previous three league games during which they lost at Goodison and needed an extra-time leveler to snatch a point at St James’s Park. That spell was interrupted by a comfortable win against Charlton in the previous round of this competition, but nothing else could have been expected.

Spurs’ away form isn’t bad at all. The problem is that they seem to be lacking a cutting edge up top at the moment with the midfielders carrying too much of the goalscoring burden. The Cottagers are no great shakes themselves when it comes to putting the ball in the back of the net and Bobby Zamora’s absence has been keenly felt.

On top of this, both sides are pretty tidy at the back. I can see this one following the blueprint of last season’s quarter-final tie between the pair. The Craven Cottage clash ended goalless then and the 0-0 correct score looks a decent bet again at around 12.0 on Betdaq.

RECOMMENDATION: (1-10 points)
Back Fulham and Spurs to draw at around 3.24: 3 points
Back 0-0 in the correct score market at around 12.0: 1 point

PLACE THIS BET ON BETDAQ NOW  CLICK HERE

Saturday's Return: +0.00
 

SHAMROCK on Sunday

Sunday 30 January

SHAMROCK

SIX NAPS UP OUT OF NINE: Tusa Eire (WON 6-4) made it six winning naps from the last nine for Shamrock at Fairyhouse yesterday, following winners at 4-1, 4-9, 2-1, 11-8 and 4-9.

NOW HE HAS 42.0 BETDAQ BET PLACED: His famous Outsider bets continued in the frame with Mr Pernickety (4th 16-1) tipped at an enormous 42.0 on Betdaq in his morning column, following winners at 16-1 and 8-1 and places at 16-1 and 10-1.
 

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Punchestown wrapped up warm and has won the day against the frost, as the first course in Ireland to use covers to protect its entire chase and hurdles track.

The so-extensive cross-country banks circuit was not covered and the race on that course, featuring Garde Champetre, has had to be abandoned.

1.50 Punchestown (Tied Cottage Chase): Big Zeb had seven lengths to spare over Golden Silver in this race last year, and he in turn beat Sizing Europe seven lengths at the Punchestown Festival.

There is no reason to deny Big Zeb’s supremacy here and Ireland is relying on him to show his mettle in readiness for his Champion Chase defence against the old king, Master Minded, who came back to form recently.

2.20 Punchestown (Grand National Trial): This race produced the Aintree hero Hedgehunter in 2003. The winner of a couple of years back, Chelsea Harbour, seemed to be on the same trajectory, but fell at Liverpool.

Chelsea Harbour was the only one to win today’s trial with more than 10st 9lb, and I find it hard to entertain the top four in the handicap as potential winners, what with their age as well as the weight.

If there’s any justice, Rocco’s Hall will win it: he was upsides Droim Toll at Fairyhouse on the first day of the year when falling at the last. Now being claimed off, he’s got a 13lb turnaround in the weights with which to put that right.

I thought Dessie Hughes’ novice, Leon Og, now 10lb better with Droim Toll, did well to finish fourth that day on his first run in handicap company.

3.50 Punchestown (Pertemps Qualifier): Fran Flood had back-to-back wins in this (2004-5) with horses carrying feathers (9st 1lb and 10st 3lb) but Bobsthewizard (second reserve) - ‘he’s a horse that loves jumping, is tough as nails and needs a trip’ – doesn’t look likely to get into it. Shame. Keep your eye out for this one.

Instead, I’ll take La Touche Cup winner L’Ami, who would have bypassed the abandoned cross-country to take in this race, after showing sprightly hurdles speed for a horse of his age. The 11.0 offers go down nicely thanks.

SHAMROCK’S BETS
NAP: Big Zeb (1.50 Punchestown)
NEXT BEST: Gagewell Flyer (2.50 Punchestown)
OUTSIDERS: Leon Og (2.20 Punchestown) and L’Ami (3.50 Punchestown)
TODAY’S DAQ TRIO (three doubles and a treble): Big Zeb (1.50 Punchestown), Rocco’s Hall (2.20 Punchestown) and Gagewell Flyer (2.50 Punchestown)
  
BACK SHAMROCK'S TIPS ON BETDAQ CLICK HERE

DAQMAN on Sunday

Sunday 30 January

DAQMAN

SIX OUT OF SIX JACKPOTS PLACED: The best of Daqman’s bets in the jackpot races he’s chosen in January now have form-figures of 111143. Every race has had one in the frame this year so far, after Bakbenscher’s third yesterday.

11-1 AND 10-1 WINNERS: The six are Blazing Bailey (WON 11-1 from 16.5 on Betdaq), Synchronised (WON 5-1), Final Approach (WON 6-1), West End Rocker (WON 10-1), Alpha Ridge (4th 9-2 from 9.8) and yesterday Bakbenscher (3rd 10-1 from 12.0).

BETDAQ RACES AT KEMPTON: Today Daqman concentrates on the three Betdaq-sponsored races at Kempton, but not before a personal story concerning the Champion Chaser’s reappearance at Punchestown.

---

There is often little justice in the law. Tied Cottage was a tear-jerk winner of the 1980 Gold Cup after falling at the last with the race at his mercy the year before. But the tears weren’t over: he was disqualified on a technicality, his breakfast minutely contaminated with coca beans during shipment of his feedstuff.

I was among those journalists who campaigned for him to keep the race but the bureaucrats have only rules in their heads while we had a brave horse in our hearts. The thing we loved about him was his great zest: he tried to make all in those Gold Cups, fencing fearlessly, and was 12 when he finally made it, only for the bean counters to take the prize away.

As winner of the Irish National, Tied Cottage is remembered today at Punchestown (1.50) in a sizzling clash of Champion Chaser Big Zeb and Arkle winner Golden Silver.

Big Zeb has much more wisdom than Tied Cottage ever did: he settles well and stalks his prey, seldom winning by more than is needed, and he should set himself up for a Champion Chase showdown with Master Minded.

1.45 Kempton (betdaq.com Handicap, Div 1) The course might suit Princess Lexi, a firm-ground winner at Brighton and Redcar in the summer who has had her runs back this month on the deeper track at Wolverhampton. She ran reasonably well to be second in better company last time out, so is running into form and has Jamie Spencer booked.

Bookiebasher Babe’s long losing run means she is down in the handicap but she needed the sands of Southwell when she had a winning mark in 2009.

In-form Mark Brisbourne and Shane Kelly are a winning combo at Kempton and 9.0 Mary Helen looks wrong, when you consider the other animals in front of her in the market.

Broughtons Paradis is well handicapped now but has never gone well after an absence before, though it has to be said that the stable is hot with a 75% win-and-place strike rate. But the offers are not so hot at 4.5.

I can’t have Supatov until Hughie Morrison shows some form: she seemed to be well fancied at Wolverhampton in November but ran flat. I’m away from my desk, so was relying on the Racing Post stats pages to tell me how good Hughie is with first-time handicappers but, though Supatov has run only in maidens and a classified, she is not in the list.

2.15 Kempton (betdaq.com Handicap, Div 2) Kieren Fox broke a sequence of 42 rides without success when he finally got one home at Lingfield on Friday. But it’s a sad world if nobody loves you, and Kieren seems to have a loyal fan in trainer John Flint.

Rhys Flint rides his jumpers but John, who sends Josephine Malines (11.0 on the Daq) all the way from Welsh Wales, has put Kieren on three winners from five tries. It’s the first time he’s partnered this mare.

‘Malines’ is easily maligned: she needs tongue-tie and cheekpieces and has won only once, a seller at Nottingham in 2008. But here she meets five maidens and a course winner, Inquisitress, whose yard is on the cold list.

Those remaining are Escardo (no wins in England but placed on the course two starts back), Screaming Brave, who’s had only one run – weakened out of it – in 16 months, and Mayfair’s Future, an entire who looks the biggest danger after being beaten three necks here in November but it’s 26 months since he troubled the judge.

3.15 Kempton (Try Betdaq For An Exchange Classified Claimer) Super Frank has the best record of any of these over Kempton’s six furlongs, with two wins, and he’s at his best when ridden by Chris Catlin, with the partnership’s record 14221.

Lord Of The Reins is four times a Kempton winner, but over 5f, and Italian Tom also wins only at the minimum. Peter Grayson’s flagship, Vhujon, always runs well and had Italian Tom and Elhamri (withdrawn today) behind over 5f in a two-grades-higher handicap on the course last month, and he is a CD claimer winner.


DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 2.5pts win MARY HELEN and 1pt win (saver) PRINCESS LEXI (1.45 Kempton)
BANKER: 20pts win BIG ZEB (1.50 Punchestown)
BET 2pts win and place JOSEPHINE MALINES (2.15 Kempton)
BET 3.8pts win VHUJON and 3pts win (saver) SUPER FRANK (3.15 Kempton)

BACK DAQMAN'S TIPS ON BETDAQ CLICK HERE

VISIT DAQMAN'S LIBRARY FOR LATEST STATISTICS ON DAQMAN AND HIS UNIQUE BETTING GUIDE CLICK HERE

SHAMROCK on Saturday

Saturday 29 January

SHAMROCK

FIVE NAPS UP OUT OF EIGHT: Shamrock’s nap, Mourad (WON 4-9), in the Galmoy Hurdle yesterday was his fifth successful from the last eight, following Fettucine (WON 4-1), Hurricane Fly (WON 4-9), A Bridge Too Far (WON 2-1) and Sir Des Champs (WON 11-8) since last Friday.

NOW HE TAKES 125-1 FOR THE GRAND NATIONAL: Mourad was his World Hurdle ante-post bet before the Galmoy. More of that in his ante-post review next week.  Meanwhile, though the horse misses his prep today, Shamrock can’t resist an early punt at 125-1 on a Northern Ireland raider for the Aintree Grand National.
 

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He’s 126.0 for the Liverpool Grand National. Unless you are foolish enough to bet with a bookmaker, then you can get only 66-1 Killyglen, whose stepping-stone to Aintree at Doncaster today has unfortunately been abandoned.

Killyglen was a decent animal with Howard Johnson in the North of England but the McCammons who own him wanted to move him nearer home to Stuart Crawford in County Antrim.

Killyglen has already won the Mildmay at Aintree and needs a soundish surface, which recent mild Springs in England suggest will be needed for a horse to handle the superb fast-riding turf come April.

I took that 126.0 on Betdaq about Killyglen for Liverpool, hoping to get some of the stake money back from Doncaster today, but I think the huge Daq price will shrink after today’s publicity for Killyglen and after the full list of Grand National entries is revealed on Wednesday. Now trainer Crawford will hope the Doncaster race can be saved in one form or another or he needs to find another decent prep.

Denis O’Regan was due for duty on Killyglen today, which made the same stable’s booking of Paul Townend significant enough for me to take an interest in Catleen (2.10) at Fairyhouse.

On a line through the progressive Trendelenburg, Catleen has every chance of stopping an Ardglen hat-trick. At 6.4 Catleen and 2.5 Ardglen this morning, I could back the Crawford mare with a saver on the favourite.

Dessie Hughes can play up his Thyestes winnings from Siegemaster when Mr Nosie (3.15) reappears. Mr Nosie was a Grade-1 hurdler (took the Deloitte) and has won a Point: with the stable in form, he might pull the plug on Time Electric and show up Killultagh Queen’s dodgy jumping. I got 9.2 this morning.

Mr Nosie is coming late to a beginners’ chase at the age of 10 but it’s an even bigger surprise to find a 10-year-old favourite for a hurdle; not just favourite, Arctic Mick (2.40) is 2.5, with 8.4 bar. Surely there must be something of each-way value among the 15 others.

Blinkers might transform Chino Valdes but I’m putting up Mr Pernickety (42.0 on Betdaq) as my outsider of the day, with youth on his side and a recent good run at Tramore (lying third four out when slipped up) giving me some belief.


SHAMROCK’S BETS
NAP: Tusa Eire (4.25 Fairyhouse)
NEXT BEST: Catleen (2.10 Fairyhouse)
OUTSIDER: Mr Pernickety (2.40 Fairyhouse)
TODAY’S DAQ TRIO (three doubles and a treble): Catleen (2.10 Fairyhouse), Mr Nosie (3.15 Fairyhouse) and Tusa Eire (4.25 Fairyhouse)
ANTE-POST: Killyglen at 126.0 (Liverpool Grand National).

  
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DAQMAN on Saturday

Saturday 29 January

DAQMAN

FIRST BANKER OF 2011: Daqman posts a rare banker bet today, his first of 2011, as the Cheltenham trials card beats the frost. Doncaster was abandoned early this morning.

JACKPOT: FIVE IN A ROW IN THE FRAME: Though Alpha Ridge (4th 9-2) was in the minor placing, the 9.8 Betdaq bet in the Thyestes Chase yesterday put Daqman in the frame for all five of his jackpot races in 2011.

RACE-BY-RACE ANALYSIS: Now here’s Daqman’s familiar race-by-race analysis of the Cheltenham card, with jackpot and banker.

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12.55 Cheltenham: Katchit won this on the way to his Triumph triumph but turn-ups in the race include last year’s 100-1 winner. Akula is the one with track experience but you have only two places to land a place bet and none of these are exposed. Trappy.

1.30 Cheltenham: Tricky Trickster (2nd), Idole First (3rd) and Pigeon Island (fell) failed to land this but when on to score at the Festival in, respectively, the NH Chase, the Racing Post Plate and the Grand Annual.

Punters usually get it right, or nearly so, with the last eight winners at 5-1 or shorter, two of them favourite like Shakalakaboomboom. Ravethebrave has track experience but is only the equal of Misstree Dancer on Newbury form, when Ikorodu Road looked set to beat them both until unseating at the last. As dodgy as the first to bet in.

2.00 Cheltenham This race usually goes to horses aged eight or nine. The Sawyer was 10 when landing back-to-back wins last year but is ignored as a 20.0 outsider today while another 10-year-old, the once Arkle placed Noland, is well fancied returning to fences.

Tony McCoy says he’s ‘not without hope’ but ‘it’s a tall order’ for Noland, who had a pipe-opener in a jumpers’ bumper. The Nicholls’ second-string, Chapoturgeon, needs big improvement, while Buffalo Bob, Fine Parchment and Drever Route are all rated below the level of previous winners and would also need to post a career best to win. Little Josh won the Paddy Power in November but is now weighted accordingly. Wishful Thinking has had only nine career starts so is open to improvement but Bakbenscher is a better price, with offers of 12.0 as I write.

He would have needed the run first time out when fifth, and not given a hard time, to subsequent King George second, Riverside Theatre, with Tatenen, who won last weekend, third and another subsequent winner, Golan Way, fourth. He will enjoy the trip and ground, likes going left-handed, has Robert Thornton back on board, and is on a handy 10st. 9lb. for a stable whose last season’s runners are stepping up in form this term.

2.30 Cheltenham This race has got its Punchestowns but lost its punch, with the defection of Time For Rupert, leaving the favourite as the only young pretender.

But, in fact, older horses – 10 and 11 – have won three of the last five, and the race conditions give Tidal Bay an 8lb advantage, if he runs to his rating: there’s no reason why he shouldn’t, with his stable in form, racing on a course where he’s recorded four successes.

The Tother One is rated a stone inferior, Neptune Collonges is – like Noland – trying to ignite the old flame which saw him third and fourth in the Gold Cup, and Madison Du Berlais was friendless this morning at 20.0.

3.05 Cheltenham The 2007 meeting was a great year for this race, with winner and third going on to take the Albert Bartlett and the Ballymore. Backspin could be that good.

He doesn’t do a tap at home: I love that laid-back sort of horse who saves it all up for the track, and he and Tony McCoy could become one of the season’s top partnerships. He really fancies him today. Me, too.

3.35 Cheltenham: This has been a top guide to the World Hurdle, with both Big Buck’s and Inglis Drever winning it, and Tidal Bay took it last year.

The form of Grands Crus’ Haydock cruise in November was franked within the week by the runner-up at Newbury, but I want to see him do it again before I’m convinced, and I’m wondering: will Bensalem improve on last season like so many of Alan Kings?

Unless Grands Crus really is a machine, Bensalem wouldn’t have to step up on Punchestown Festival form when he split Quevega – giving the winner weight – and yesterday’s Galmoy winner, Mourad.

DAQMAN'S BETS@
WIN-30 JACKPOT: BET 2.7pts win and place BAKBENSCHER (2.00 Cheltenham)
BET 7.4pts win TIDAL BAY (2.30 Cheltenham)
BANKER: 20pts win BACKSPIN (3.05 Cheltenham)
BET: 4.2pts win BENSALEM and 2pts win (saver) GRANDS CRUS (3.35 Cheltenham)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 3 x 1pt win doubles and a 1pt win treble Bakbenscher (2.00 Cheltenham), Tidal Bay (2.30 Cheltenham) and Backspin (3.05 Cheltenham)

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